ST Alpha - "OK. I am no modeling expert. I don't think she said anything that was a lie. The stuff she got into was super high level, and it speaks to " (Reading a Post)

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In response to "The woman doctor (sorry don't know the names) -- nm" by Bacon

OK. I am no modeling expert. I don't think she said anything that was a lie. The stuff she got into was super high level, and it speaks to

Posted by loosilu (aka loosilu2) Mar 26 '20, 15:43

the multiple factors. I admit I just had two IPAs and I would probably have a better understanding otherwise. Maybe not much better. Modeling is seriously complicated.

I think it's a legitimate point that models predicted many more dead in Italy than we have seen.

The next things she said were downplaying the situation in NYC, and I have a major problem with that. Major.

Responses:

I mean, more deaths *if* they'd done nothing, no? That's the point, they did stuff and stopped it from becoming apocalyptic. -- nm - Reagen Mar 26, 15:49 9
- I couldn't tell based on what she said. -- nm - loosilu Mar 26, 15:50 8
  - it's a thing going around about the UK models. "They said 550k dead, now they're saying 20k!" Yes, because they backed off from the - Reagen Mar 26, 15:52 7
    - I totally get the angle. I couldn't tell based on what she said. -- nm - loosilu Mar 26, 15:53 6
      - I find her really hard to listen to. -- (edited) - mud Mar 26, 15:55 5
        
        I can't remember, my apologies. Do you have background in this? -- nm* - loosilu Mar 26, 15:57 4
        
        you changed the question. In "this" ..? ..no -- nm - mud Mar 26, 16:08 1
        
        not sure what you are asking, I meant modeling. :) -- nm - loosilu Mar 26, 16:12
        
        nuthin, I'm retired. I spent 2 decades in the music biz, 1 decade in books, then had a rather rough 20 yrs now I'm here :-) -- nm - mud Mar 26, 15:59 1
        
        we've all had a rough load of years. :) -- nm - loosilu Mar 26, 16:06
Have another beer you earned it -- nm - Bacon Mar 26, 15:47 1
- I've been trying to read up on models, it's a three-body problem. My older bro is Chief of Medicine at a rural hospital and he's trying to plan. - loosilu Mar 26, 15:49

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OK. I am no modeling expert. I don't think she said anything that was a lie. The stuff she got into was super high level, and it speaks to

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