|
In response to
"Again, I'm confident that the numbers are 2-3 times as high as reported. Even so, single digits growth was always the goal. "
by
David
|
if the data's not representative, then the growth isn't reliable. If I was going to be a statistician about it I'd look at things like what
Posted by
mafic
Apr 8 '20, 23:40
|
the relationship between overall tests and overall % positive is. in the US the overall is kind of all over the place, and still generally increasing, which tells me you're not plateauing yet. more Italy, less South Korea still. maybe slowing a little, but still early.
looking at that on a daily basis generally shows on days with more tests, higher hit rate. given that hit rate is still above 20% most days, you probably need like 5-10x as much testing to get good numbers.
|
Responses:
|