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In response to "But nationwide? We don't have national testing, it's a patchwork. -- nm" by loosilu

Yeah. Some places are fine, but mostly nowhere runs nearly enough. When the number of tests first scaled up, number of cases went right along with it.

The percentage of positive tests for most of those zig-zag days was around 20%. the spread of tests run was (from memory) like 140k +/- 30%, so on a 100k test day you get 20k cases, on 150k days you get 30k cases. It’s an artefact of dealing with an incomplete dataset.

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