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In response to
"Again, without fully understanding how their accuracy is increasingly waning — 2016 you saw the same exact arguments about Texas that led to incorrect"
by
JackDawson
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But if you look at the charts, the errors in the primary polls are wildly out of scope for the errors in the general
Posted by
Reagen
May 19 '20, 07:24
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I never relied on much with polls for the primaries because of their notorious difficulties in small polling groups and because of multiple candidates (identifying who is going to even vote in a primary is difficult!). General elections are more straightforward and those errors don't carry forward to the same degree.
Poll margins in GA and TX are also significantly different in 2020 than in 2016, both on an individual basis and as averages.
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