ST Alpha - "I’d love a high tide lifts all boats effect but I continue to believe at this moment in time that demographics will rule the day " (Reading a Post)

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In response to "Polls I'd like to see: Some of the more reliable "red" states like Nebraska and Arkansas" by Reagen

I’d love a high tide lifts all boats effect but I continue to believe at this moment in time that demographics will rule the day

Posted by JackDawson (aka dawson) May 19 '20, 08:02

Biden’s age is throwing me into a loop prediction wise but I expect some of the Obama to trump trends to continue such that Arizona and Georgia will get closer and the former hopefully flip while other states like OH IA become further out of reach like MS and WV went from Gore to Bush

Michigan was a statistical tie where anything goes and PA confuses me

MN and WI are my biggest worries

Responses:

The biggest "remains to be seen" is just how much of 2016 was people being done with the Clintons. -- nm - Reagen May 19, 08:09 3
- Look at Michigan’s primaries. Polling in 2016 had Hillary up almost 20%. She lost. -- (link) - Tim May 19, 08:19 2
  - And then in March, 300,000 more people voted in what was a 2 person race by then. Bernie got fewer votes. -- (link) - Tim May 19, 08:21 1
    - This short circuited the brains of a lot of BernieBros, claiming the DNC rigged it. No, people just really fucking hated Hillary. - Tim May 19, 08:22

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I’d love a high tide lifts all boats effect but I continue to believe at this moment in time that demographics will rule the day

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