ST Alpha - "Here you go, Dawson: The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a "historic defeat" in November, a national election model released by Oxford Economics predicts -- (link*)" (Reading a Post)

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Here you go, Dawson: The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a "historic defeat" in November, a national election model released by Oxford Economics predicts -- (link*)

Posted by decline (aka Decline) May 21 '20, 12:23

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https://twitter.com/CNN/status/1263550141610557450 (twitter.com)

Responses:

I don't see how that will happen unless Biden announces a jobs plan to get the newly unemployed millions back to work. - Loyola May 21, 12:51 2
- 10 years ago, voters rejected the guy with plans to salvage the Historically bad economy he inherited in lieu of people who said their plan - Will Hunting May 21, 13:10
- You're assuming way more rational thought going into voting decisions than will happen. -- nm - Reagen May 21, 13:02
that the model thought he'd get 55% to start should tell you everything you know about its value. -- nm - Reagen May 21, 12:35 7
- In the bizzarro Ricky Bobby world of Trump: if he aint losing, he's winning. And I still think he wins if he holds national polls >40%. - Max May 21, 12:39 4
  - Also, my point is about the modelling more than anything. Can he win? Frighteningly, yes. But if your model says 55% PV, it's based on garbage. -- nm - Reagen May 21, 12:43 2
    - Obama 2 was 51%. With a good economy and Biden perhaps not as sharp as Romney, I don't see a shift to 55% as garbage. - Max May 21, 12:51 1
      - It's only a possibility if you don't consider polling *at all*. - Reagen May 21, 12:55
  - He's running a point ahead of 2016. *but*. Biden is running 3 points ahead of Clinton. - Reagen May 21, 12:42
- yeah that's bogus -- nm - mud May 21, 12:36 1
  - It's like predicting the Lakers will beat the Bucks 173-57. -- nm - Reagen May 21, 12:39
Welp, there's the headline Trump will repeat until the end of the line if he steals another election. -- nm - David May 21, 12:32
That is nice as he will have a good excuse for why he gets his ass kicked. -- nm - Spawn May 21, 12:29
Oh God from their lips to God's ears. -- nm - JackDawson May 21, 12:28

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