ST Alpha - "Also, my point is about the modelling more than anything. Can he win? Frighteningly, yes. But if your model says 55% PV, it's based on garbage. -- nm" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "In the bizzarro Ricky Bobby world of Trump: if he aint losing, he's winning. And I still think he wins if he holds national polls >40%." by Max

Also, my point is about the modelling more than anything. Can he win? Frighteningly, yes. But if your model says 55% PV, it's based on garbage. -- nm

Posted by Reagen May 21 '20, 12:43

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Responses:

Obama 2 was 51%. With a good economy and Biden perhaps not as sharp as Romney, I don't see a shift to 55% as garbage. - Max May 21, 12:51 1
- It's only a possibility if you don't consider polling *at all*. - Reagen May 21, 12:55

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