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In response to "Obama 2 was 51%. With a good economy and Biden perhaps not as sharp as Romney, I don't see a shift to 55% as garbage." by Max

It's only a possibility if you don't consider polling *at all*.

they're trying to simulate an election without factoring in the voters.
1984 might as well have been 1884 as far as relevance to PV patterns, and ignores everything that's happened since then as far as divergence.


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