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In response to "I'm sorta betting on a very similar to the first second wave - almost always happens in pandemics - but I could see less than 30% of the shut downs." by Name Withheld By Request

I agree with the IM. As for the wave crest, it will depend, IMO, on how much international travel resumes

I feel like the intermovement of people's across cities, countries, etc., had as much to do with it as anything else

I have no basis for this, it's just a gut based on the places that were infected at higher rates and those that were not


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