ST Alpha - "Oh gosh. I'm not an epidemiologist, my opinion isn't any more expert than yours. The big unknown is whether it is seasonal." (Reading a Post)

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In response to "loosi, what are your expectations about a potential second wave of COVID-19 - like when would it happen, etc.? -- nm" by Dark Callisto

Oh gosh. I'm not an epidemiologist, my opinion isn't any more expert than yours. The big unknown is whether it is seasonal.

Posted by loosilu (aka loosilu2) Jun 3 '20, 17:28

SARS didn't come back. MERS came back and it was much worse the second time. The annoying thing about novel viruses is that we truly don't know, we have to wait and see. There are certainly multiple precedents for a second wave.

what is my gut feeling? My GUT feeling is that there won't be a wave, there will be a background level of death. I could 1000% be wrong.

Responses:

What do you mean by "background level of death"? -- nm - David Jun 3, 17:31 3
- Just an ongoing soupçon of death -- nm - Beryllium Jun 3, 17:51 1
  - The recovery process is awful, though: we have one person in Victoria who has been in critical care for 8 weeks -- nm - Beryllium Jun 3, 17:52
- that's a great subtitle for the sequel. Death Is a Jaguar Warrior: Background Level of Death -- nm - prayformojo Jun 3, 17:32

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Oh gosh. I'm not an epidemiologist, my opinion isn't any more expert than yours. The big unknown is whether it is seasonal.

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