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In response to "Yesterday was the lowest amount of COVID19 deaths in the U.S. since March 26th. -- (link)" by Inigo

My conspiracy theorist thinks states are being overly cautious about (a) attributing deaths to COVID ,(b) reporting them (and what date)

Posted by JaxSean (aka JaxSean) Jun 8 '20, 08:57

I mentioned this on Friday. I don't know how many states are doing this.

http://www.slickertalk.com/?post_id=4869151&board_id=31128&username=JaxSean (www.slickertalk.com)

If they are aggregating them all to one day, that makes it easier for the data miners. It looks odd on a graph, but they dont have to chase old data.

JaxSean (aka JaxSean) Jun 5 '20, 14:37

I believe that FL is back-filling death counts to the date it's attributed to. e.g., if today they determined a death on 5/1 was actually from COVID, they up the count of 5/1 up by 1. If those sites don't check prior days data with every daily sweep, it's getting missed, so therefore, "looks better." I'm not 100% sure of this, but I do know they are updating data for days over the last 14 days. So a death from 5/22 could be added today.

Responses:

If what you're saying were statistically significant, it would spike the overall state number, and consequently the overall U.S death total as well. - Inigo Jun 8, 09:03 6
- I'm sure the numbers as a whole are coming down, but that really reflects the original hot spots and extended quarantine and social distancing there. - pmb Jun 8, 09:39 3
  - I'd be curious to see how much they actually go up by. So many of the darkest "the whole state is going to die" predictions have not come to pass and - JackDawson Jun 8, 09:44 2
    - Yes, "the everyone is going to die" prediction thankfully turned out to be only rhetorical hyperbole and not an accurate prediction. -- nm* - znufrii, silly old man Jun 8, 10:00
    - Yes. I think flareups are more likely and I do think the summer makes a big difference. Outside is less likely to transmit, and these gatherings are - pmb Jun 8, 09:54
- I agree, but there are some oddities in the (FL) data that I'd like to know about. - JaxSean Jun 8, 09:39 [Attachment]
- Wait a second, this is America. When science and data don’t fit our political narratives we shed them aside, didn’t you know that?! -- nm - JackDawson Jun 8, 09:19
someone also mentioned that in FL particularly. Pneumonia deaths needs to be at least looked at to make sure they aren't unpadding the Covid 19 numbe - Epiphany- not ADAB Jun 8, 09:00 1
- They're also refusing to count presumptive cases. -- nm - loosilu Jun 8, 09:25
It's not your imagination. -- nm - David Jun 8, 08:59

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My conspiracy theorist thinks states are being overly cautious about (a) attributing deaths to COVID ,(b) reporting them (and what date)

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