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In response to "I'd be curious to see how much they actually go up by. So many of the darkest "the whole state is going to die" predictions have not come to pass and" by JackDawson

Yes. I think flareups are more likely and I do think the summer makes a big difference. Outside is less likely to transmit, and these gatherings are

outside. But while that may help insulate the southern states when we get to fall, it doesn't bode great for the north. Too many people are acting like this is over. We are still firmly in a trial and error period to see what the range of risks look like. And it will continue to be a trial and error for a while as some states are phasing opening. The "wait 2 weeks" is really going to have to be the view for the foreseeable future because the numbers venturing out will continue to go up as people become more comfortable with the concept. There is still a sizeable portion of America that is holding back and that will help suppress the numbers as well.

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