ST Alpha - "What I’m missing from the things I read including the good interview loosi posted is that it says that 60-80pct of Americans are gonna get infected

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In response to "IMO, until this graph gets worse, focusing on the change in net positive COVID cases isn't the argument in Florida (and possibly other states)." by JaxSean

What I’m missing from the things I read including the good interview loosi posted is that it says that 60-80pct of Americans are gonna get infected -

Posted by JackDawson (aka dawson) Jun 12 '20, 12:28

Doctors keep saying that (and it makes sense), and it doesn’t change regardless of spcial distancing rules — if that’s true than are we only socially distancing to keep hospitals not overwhelmed?

Other than for that, if we are heading to 70pct then all the efforts seem pointless

Responses:

I don't have an article at hand, but the analysis I saw is that overall deaths are lower with social distancing. -- nm - loosilu Jun 12, 13:07
Well, I hope that number isn't hit. There aren't enough lungs available for transplants, and swathes of the populace will suffer effects for years. - Beryllium Jun 12, 12:34 6
- But hoping isn’t enough/- every single doctor seems to say that’s what’s gonna happen... -- nm - JackDawson Jun 12, 12:36 5
  - Hospitals exceeeding capacity leads to more overall deaths when people have to go untreated. -- nm - loosilu Jun 12, 13:08 4
    - Yeah I mean this makes total sense so like fucking increase hospital capacity assholes you’ve had three months and counting -- nm - JackDawson Jun 12, 13:12 3
      - Iirc they have doubled hospital icu capacity, converting watds etc, but there is a limited amount of drugs and staff -- nm - zeitgeist Jun 12, 14:04 1
        
        Varies widely by location. -- nm - loosilu Jun 12, 14:07
      - Easier said than done when it's scattered across the country as opposed to centralized in NYC. Many of these hospitals have lost shitloads -- (edited) - loosilu Jun 12, 13:46
Essentially, yes, I think that's kinda my point. "infections" up or down shouldn't be the key indicators. Hospitalization and death should be. - JaxSean Jun 12, 12:31

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What I’m missing from the things I read including the good interview loosi posted is that it says that 60-80pct of Americans are gonna get infected -

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