ST Alpha - "He's still 50/50 at worst to win IMO, but yikes. -- (link)" (Reading a Post)

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He's still 50/50 at worst to win IMO, but yikes. -- (link)

Posted by Tim (aka othertim) Jun 23 '20, 10:27

(No message)

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1275414066039832578 (twitter.com)

Responses:

When did the economy collapse on Dubya? Like 60 days before the election? - David Jun 23, 10:40 1
- 75 or so is when Lehman’s fell apart. Mid-August -- nm - Will Hunting Jun 23, 10:42
I realize people are scared of Trump magic, but, at this point in the campaign, he's the biggest Presidential underdog since Dole. -- nm - Inigo Jun 23, 10:32 16
- My reasons for optimism: President Trump is not theoretical this time, and people aren't enthusiastic about Biden but they don't hate him like Hilary. - Dano Jun 23, 10:46 4
  - Nervousness is valid since the stakes are so high. But right now there's no question in my mind who's leading. -- nm - Reagen Jun 23, 11:19 2
    - I agree, but if 2020 has taught me anything it's don't pretend to think you know what the world will look like in 5 months. -- nm - Dano Jun 23, 11:22 1
      - - "months" + "days" -- nm - Spawn Jun 23, 11:26
  - PA, MI and WI alone are enough. - Tim Jun 23, 10:51
- This picture still pisses me off -- (link) - oblique Jun 23, 10:43
- Not magic. We know the voters don't want him. Vote tampering, intimidation, and other electoral shenanigans are the concern. -- nm - Beryllium Jun 23, 10:40 2
  - I will say that's what happened at the protests indicates that voter bullies will have a bad election day. -- nm - David Jun 23, 10:41
  - (And not in that order; I think tampering would be the least concern) -- nm - Beryllium Jun 23, 10:41
- By any data point anyone should trust, he's getting killed. However, he's survived several wooden stakes to the heart so far. -- nm - David Jun 23, 10:38 3
  - Right. 133 days is a VERY LONG TIME, but he's definitely down *as of right now*. That by no means = that he's out. -- nm - ty97 Jun 23, 10:55
  - (I don't know how James Comey lives with himself.) -- nm - David Jun 23, 10:38 1
    - word. -- nm - mud Jun 23, 10:47
- The base is small, but they're all gonna vote. Plenty are still looking for a reason to not vote for Biden. -- nm - Tim Jun 23, 10:34 2
  - That's factored into the 10 point deficit. - Inigo Jun 23, 10:36
  - As often as they can! -- nm - David Jun 23, 10:36
Man, the 92 convention saved Clinton’s ass. I forgot he was down like that. -- nm - Will Hunting Jun 23, 10:31 1
- People really didn't know who he was yet. -- nm - Inigo Jun 23, 10:34

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