ST Alpha - "We should really feel good that its is June and that Trump is down double digits. This is a good sign. -- (link)" (Reading a Post)

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We should really feel good that its is June and that Trump is down double digits. This is a good sign. -- (link)

Posted by ty97 Jun 24 '20, 06:02

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Wed June 15, 2016: Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump nationally, a new Bloomberg Politics poll shows. (www.cnn.com)

Responses:

IIRC, the biggest lead Hillary had over Trump at 538's average was 6%. Biden leads Trump by 9.9% currently by the same metrics. -- nm - Inigo Jun 24, 06:35
Could we have the election tomorrow? -- nm - JackDawson Jun 24, 06:28
That's a single poll. The average on this date was +5. -- nm - Reagen Jun 24, 06:11 13
- Every poll is a single poll. I'm just saying. Act like Biden is losing from now until election day. -- nm* - ty97 Jun 24, 06:15 12
  - with respect, this sentiment doesn't need to come out every time there's a positive poll. Everyone understands this. -- nm - Reagen Jun 24, 06:17 11
    - With respect, I'm not sure the general electorate understands this. -- nm - ty97 Jun 24, 06:20 10
      - that's not what I'm seeing anecdotally, with all the "Biden? Whatever. I'll walk over lava to vote against Trump" comments. -- nm - Reagen Jun 24, 06:22 9
        
        We know that we are only seeing comment from engaged folks at this point and that the majority of voters don't tune in for a while still -- nm - ty97 Jun 24, 06:23 8
        
        I think momentum has a weight of its own. People like to vote for "a winner" - Reagen Jun 24, 06:26 2
        
        Aparently Trump cares about polls 4 years ago the way he acted when he was behind to Hill is alot different than it is now -- nm - eag Jun 24, 06:33 1
        
        He had a clear enemy that wasn't himself. -- nm - loosilu Jun 24, 06:39
        
        Plus, people who are 'weaker voters' (less likely to bother to vote) aren't the ones commenting. - ty97 Jun 24, 06:24 4
        
        I think that's no one on this board, FWIW. -- nm - Reagen Jun 24, 06:27 3
        
        how would we know though? -- nm - ty97 Jun 24, 06:28 2
        
        I mean if you want to get metaphysical, we can never be sure of anything, but I'd be surprised if there's a single uncommitted voter on this board. -- nm - Reagen Jun 24, 06:34 1
        
        They certainly wouldn't enjoy the board much. -- nm - loosilu Jun 24, 06:37

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