ST Alpha - "I will agree with the caveat of don't be pushing for AZ or TX or GA if you don't have MI/WI/PA shored up. -- nm*" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "I'm Mr. "push for 400 EV" so you don't have to sell me on keeping the pressure on. -- nm" by Reagen

I will agree with the caveat of don't be pushing for AZ or TX or GA if you don't have MI/WI/PA shored up. -- nm*

Posted by ty97 Jun 24 '20, 06:54

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Responses:

Or accept that Pa/Wi/Mi might not be ‘shorable’ given a change in the economic demographics. Give them the message - Will Hunting Jun 24, 06:58 2
- I'm not convinced there's been any permanent shift in those states yet. The best quality pollsters have Biden up outside of MoE in all of those. - Reagen Jun 24, 07:03
- eh, they were so close in 2016 I won't accept that at this point. -- nm - ty97 Jun 24, 07:02
Or do both, but start with, and concentrate on the swing states. - Inigo Jun 24, 06:57 9
- Well, it WAS a strategic mistake in 2016, a huge costly one for her and the nation to think she had it sown up in some states right? -- nm - JackDawson Jun 24, 07:04 1
  - Correct. It was one of the main reasons she won the popular vote but lost the election. -- nm - Inigo Jun 24, 07:08
- I'm just saying, shortly before the 2016 election, Hillary was in Arizona. Why was she in Arizona? -- nm - ty97 Jun 24, 07:00 6
  - Agreed as per above. Contra: It's potentially fallacious to expect the last result to replicate and to act based upon it - JackDawson Jun 24, 07:07 2
    - Let's assume Happy Premise #1 that Biden wins. In that even there will *definitely* be some leaps of logic as to how electorates have changed - Reagen Jun 24, 07:14 1
      - Also true. -- nm - JackDawson Jun 24, 07:18
  - Oh, no doubt she ignored those swing states. That was a huge mistake. - Inigo Jun 24, 07:03 2
    - Agree with most of the IM. - ty97 Jun 24, 07:11
    - Arizona doesn't even feel like a stretch this time. -- nm - Reagen Jun 24, 07:04

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