ST Alpha - "The House is currently +5-10 D, while I haven't seen anyone go ahead and say, yeah the Democrats are definitely taking the Senate yet." (Reading a Post)

SlickerTalk
Search Archives
The Leaderboard
The FAQ

Down to Post

Backboards:

Posts: 151

In response to "In 96, when Clinton was cake-walking to the finish line vs Dole, Dole made a lot of stops in the last week to salvage downballot people." by Will Hunting 🧠’s

The House is currently +5-10 D, while I haven't seen anyone go ahead and say, yeah the Democrats are definitely taking the Senate yet.

Posted by Tim (aka othertim) Oct 4 '20, 19:04

Sabato's update this week hass Biden winning the EC (just by taking back PA, MI and WI) and has AZ, CO and ME Senate races leaning D pickup (Doug Jones losing of course), though they still have NC and IA as tossups.

For their House forecast, if all the Leans/Likely go the respective party's way and they split the tossups, the Democrats add 4-5 seats to the majority.

https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/biden-lead-looks-firmer-as-midwest-moves-his-way/ (centerforpolitics.org)

Responses:

My House district is rated as a toss up. Since the redistributing in PA my district would probably be considered a swing district that leans a bit Red -- nm - Dano Oct 4, 19:17 1
- My district is Likely D (One of the few districts represented by a Democrat but won by Trump in 2016) - Tim Oct 4, 19:28
The Economist is saying the same as 538, they published this week. -- (link) - Marlowe Oct 4, 19:14
A year ago I thought the Dems taking the Senate was a pipe dream so it being an actual possibility is nice. -- nm - ty97 Oct 4, 19:12 2
- A couple days after the midterms I made rankings and was pretty close. -- (link) - Tim Oct 4, 19:16 [Backboard] 1
  - I'm toying with the idea of having my election contest have a maximum score of 0. -- nm - Reagen Oct 4, 19:19
538's Senate projections currently are giving Dems close to a 2 out of 3 chance of winning control. -- (link) - znufrii needs to update his handle Oct 4, 19:05 1
- Seems they're really bullish on Iowa, which would be 51 provided they do get the main four in play. - Tim Oct 4, 19:09

Post a message top

The House is currently +5-10 D, while I haven't seen anyone go ahead and say, yeah the Democrats are definitely taking the Senate yet.

Replies are disabled on threads older than 7 days.