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Finally had time to look at my spreadsheet, if Trump loses FL, he almost has to run the table on the rest of RCP’s toss-up states. -- (edited)

He can afford to lose either IA or NV if he picks up either NE-2 or ME-2. If MI goes back to a toss up that opens up more options but he’s still pretty much limited to one additional loss if he does win MI.

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