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Posts: 156
Rasmussen: Here are our latest poll results. Trafalgar: Hold my beer.
Posted by
Dano (aka dano)
Oct 27 '20, 09:17
I must say that I can't help myself though and they make me a little nervous.
Responses:
They accidentally put out some cross tabs for the first time, and were quickly exposed as nonsense
-
Reagen
Oct 27, 09:28
2
The logical part of me understands, but the nervous nelly part of me won't completely accept it. -- nm
-
Dano
Oct 27, 10:03
1
Like, the consequences are apocalyptic. I get it. -- nm
-
Reagen
Oct 27, 10:27
I think there is some substance to the "shy Trump voter phenomenon," but not to the extent Trafalgar or Rasmussen rely on it.
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aRCynic (and Old Lace)
Oct 27, 09:23
11
~ shy Ronnie, go vote ~ -- nm
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Rihanna
Oct 27, 09:34
But like, shy Trump voters in... Kansas? Texas?
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Reagen
Oct 27, 09:27
5
I'm using some family members as an unfounded, irresponsible statistical model.
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aRCynic (and Old Lace)
Oct 27, 09:32
2
People said the same things in 2018 about polls - other than Florida, Dems outran the polling. -- nm
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Reagen
Oct 27, 09:34
1
Well, yeah. I'm not part of the "polls are flawed and worthless crowd," but I trust the Pew Research Center's findings.
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aRCynic (and Old Lace)
Oct 27, 09:41
We're always talking about what shrinking violets these MAGA-heads are.
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David, Horny New Guy
Oct 27, 09:28
1
They aren't, but I bet there are a bunch of $150K/year manager types who live in suburbs where they would rather not be open about their votes. -- nm
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Name Withheld By Request
Oct 27, 10:12
I'd argue that in red states the dampening may go the other way. -- nm
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pmb
Oct 27, 09:25
3
I could see that. I just haven't been able to find any actual objective studies or analyses that provide a solid conclusion either way.
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aRCynic (and Old Lace)
Oct 27, 09:28
2
It feels like the media bias argument rehashed. -- nm
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Reagen
Oct 27, 09:33
1
That's a good comparison.
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aRCynic (and Old Lace)
Oct 27, 09:38
Even with the Republican slant, the wild swings in the Rasmussen polls just can't be explained.
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Inigo
Oct 27, 09:20
1
And their explanations are like when people try to explain stock market movement. -- nm
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Reagen
Oct 27, 09:23
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