In response to
"I'd argue that in red states the dampening may go the other way. -- nm"
by
pmb
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I could see that. I just haven't been able to find any actual objective studies or analyses that provide a solid conclusion either way.
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538 ran a great story at the end of September, but even their explanations were kind of wishy-washy. And the studies they cited didn't seem terribly conclusive either -- more along the lines of "we haven't found firm evidence of the shy voter effect yet, but it could still exist."
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Responses:
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