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Posts: 151

Kanye 53059 votes. running 0.2-0.4% where he's on the ballot -- nm - mafic Nov 3, 21:30
NYT has needles for three states (FL, GA, NC). Their GA needle just went from 'Likely Trump' to 'Tilting Biden'..... -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 21:24 1
- 'Tilting' ain't much, but it's a change for sure -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 21:24
Georgia quit counting and is going to sleep. -- nm - ♤Spawn♤ Nov 3, 21:22 5
- I don't understand this. They should put locks on the doors and tell them to COUNT -- nm - mud Nov 3, 21:25 3
  - Nothing changes whether they report tonight, tomorrow, or next week. Let them sleep. -- nm - Max Nov 3, 21:26 2
    - :-P -- nm - mud Nov 3, 21:27
    - LOL -- nm - 45 Nov 3, 21:27
- Doing some number crunching.... I think it's live tomorrow morning. Lots of urban vote to come. -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Nov 3, 21:23
AP calls MN for Biden. 33 EVs left. -- nm - znufrii Nov 3, 21:21 3
- Where are you tracking these. Everything I see has Biden at 205 or 209. Meaning he needs 61 votes from the uncalled states. What are you considering - 🦃 TWuG 🚀 Nov 3, 21:25 2
  - AP currently has Biden at 223 and Shithole at 145. -- nm - Diva Nov 3, 21:30
  - I'm counting based on the RCP toss-up states, so starting Biden with 216 and going from there. -- nm - znufrii Nov 3, 21:27
Biden statement imminent according to CNN -- nm - Max Nov 3, 21:16 2
- "I'm going to bed. See ya in the morn!" -- nm - Joe Nov 3, 21:20 1
  - heh -- nm - mud Nov 3, 21:21
CALL ARIZONA ! YOU MANIACS ! -- nm - mud Nov 3, 21:16
Don't fuck with me, Nate... -- (link) - Reagen Nov 3, 21:13 15
- I'm all set with him. Not impressed at all. -- nm - Diva Nov 3, 21:21
- Can someone explain this needle thing? -- nm - Ender Nov 3, 21:18 9
  - it's a live projection model that adjusts based on actual votes as they come in, and anticipates where the remaining votes are expected to come from. -- nm - znufrii Nov 3, 21:20
  - Live odds of winning, which was the source of much indigestion in 2016 as it started heavily in Hillary’s favor. - Tim, not a doctor Nov 3, 21:19 5
    - According to whom? -- nm - Ender Nov 3, 21:23 2
      - Nate. -- nm - ♤Spawn♤ Nov 3, 21:25 1
        
        Who is Nate? Does he have an employer? -- nm - Ender Nov 3, 21:34
    - So it was correct? -- nm - zunkskunk+ Nov 3, 21:21 1
      - Eventually. -- nm - znufrii Nov 3, 21:25
  - It analyzes district level data to predict where the uncounted vote is going to land, and offers up a percent - Reagen Nov 3, 21:19 1
    - and it needs to be ignored with extreme prejudice -- nm - mud Nov 3, 21:20
- Is this because they haven’t counted all the early vote? -- nm - Tim, not a doctor Nov 3, 21:16 2
  - because Atlanta -- nm - znufrii Nov 3, 21:20
  - Lots of votes outstanding in urban areas. -- nm - Ender Nov 3, 21:18
- If, then I think Biden 321. -- nm - Max Nov 3, 21:14
Trivia: 3 times a winning President topped 500 electoral votes. Name the 3 Presidents with the election year included. -- nm - rollo Nov 3, 21:10 9
- Roosevelt...not sure on the year. -- nm - flavorize Nov 3, 21:21
- Reagen 84, Nixon 72, FDR 44 -- nm - mud Nov 3, 21:12 3
  - FDR '36 was the big one. -- nm - mafic Nov 3, 21:23 1
    - correct -- nm - rollo Nov 3, 21:24
  - 2/3 -- nm - rollo Nov 3, 21:12
- answers - Tim, not a doctor Nov 3, 21:12 1
  - 2/3 -- nm - rollo Nov 3, 21:12
- Truman -- nm - Max Nov 3, 21:11 1
  - nah -- nm - rollo Nov 3, 21:13
Wisconsin telling ABC they should be at 100% by 5am Central. -- nm - Max Nov 3, 21:10
Trump will declare victory before I wake up. -- nm - ♤Spawn♤ Nov 3, 21:03 4
- Yeah--Too bad it's not up to him. Election was always going to come down to these early, mail-in votes. - flavorize Nov 3, 21:15
- Seeing as I thought he'd do so at 10:30 pm tonight I'm feeling a wee bit better. -- nm - Diva Nov 3, 21:09 2
  - There's still time ... unfortunately. -- nm - Beryllium Nov 3, 21:13 1
    - I mean in my time zone. -- nm - Diva Nov 3, 21:19
nice ad for The Flight Attendant. -- nm - mud Nov 3, 20:57
CNN has not called AZ yet (they are taking it slow, but are talking pretty positively in tone right now) -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 20:54
So from Wisconsin (10), Michigan (16), Ohio (18), Pennsylvania (20), Biden needs 26. -- nm - Volnelk Nov 3, 20:49 7
- Ok...ive been watching SHIELD instead of this...Biden has Ohio and PA?? -- nm - Johnny Lawrence Nov 3, 21:10 2
  - Lost OH. Penn has millions of votes to count. -- nm - ♤Spawn♤ Nov 3, 21:12
  - Biden has neither -- nm - Ender Nov 3, 21:11
- Thank you. That's the kind of clarity that's been sorely lacking tonight. -- nm - Mop Nov 3, 21:05 1
  - grow up. -- nm - mud Nov 3, 21:08
- And that 26 assumes NE-02 is Biden (don't think it's been called) -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 20:50
- Drop Ohio from the wish list -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 20:50
Let's say Biden gets NE-02/MI/WI/PA (NV of course too which seems likely) and loses ME-02. That's 290-248. A win but.... - ty97 Nov 3, 20:48 7
- We are like The Jets ( sorry Krusty) we will take a win no matter how ugly -- nm - Pippy Nov 3, 20:51 6
  - 100% and I said so earlier today. But I also admitted I'd be disappointed and dispirited in my fellow Americans if it was close in the EV -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 20:52 5
    - Let’s be dispirited later and figure out how to fix our fellow American Idiots after we elect a competent leader. -- nm - Pippy Nov 3, 20:54 3
      - I will be both dispirited and pleased simultaneously TYVM! -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 21:00 2
        
        :) -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 21:00 1
        
        :) -- nm - Pippy Nov 3, 21:05
    - (I consider 290 'close') -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 20:52
Virginia finally got its count in, looks normal again -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 20:48
Betting odds down to -165/+125 Biden -- nm - Flavorize 🎃 Nov 3, 20:39 16
- -125/+105 -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Nov 3, 20:47
- To this day, I still have zero clue what this means and will likely never fully grasp it -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 20:46 14
  - I’m a gambler and I still don’t know -- nm - Pippy Nov 3, 20:49 1
    - same here -- nm - mud Nov 3, 20:54
  - ik, r? -- nm - Diva Nov 3, 20:48
  - I also have zero clue what it means. -- nm - Beryllium Nov 3, 20:47
  - -165 = bet 165 to win 100, +125 = bet 100 to win 125 -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 20:47 9
    - So biden still good? -- nm - James Bond (aka Igor) Nov 3, 20:50
    - right and........... -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 20:49 6
      - like what am I betting on on both sides of this -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 20:49 5
        
        I'm assuming that's Trump/Biden - Reagen Nov 3, 20:53
        
        Any amount. It’s a ratio. - Volnelk Nov 3, 20:53 3
        
        it's the pairing that is throwing us off, I think. - Beryllium Nov 3, 20:55 2
        
        Correct. One is the favorite and the other the underdog. -- (edited) - Volnelk Nov 3, 20:59
        
        Yes - it's a pairing of the two bets - Reagen Nov 3, 20:59
    - this ... almost helps. At least the second part does. -- nm - Beryllium Nov 3, 20:48
Okay buddies. I'm going to bed. I heart you all. See you in the morningtime. Yes, you can text or phone me if the world starts ending. - amanda jeans Nov 3, 20:38 2
- thanks so much for working the polls. -- nm - Diva Nov 3, 20:45 1
  - Keep 'em off the polls -- nm - rollo Nov 3, 21:05
For the “Bernie woulda won” brigade. -- (link) - Tim, not a doctor Nov 3, 20:37 1
- (Also it’s very clear any hints of “socialism” are a major turnoff in Florida.) -- nm - Tim, not a doctor Nov 3, 20:42
Spreadsheet updated: With AZ, Biden has 102 paths to get 43 more EVs. Trump is left with 55 paths to reach 145 -- (link*) - znufrii Nov 3, 20:34 1
- Losing OH, Biden has 73 paths left by my count. -- nm - znufrii Nov 3, 21:03
Yes I feel better and also certain it isn’t getting called tonight. It’s going to be a weird week. -- nm - Volnelk Nov 3, 20:30 1
- I needed one of the sun belt states to flip blue to let me at least sleep *a little* easier tonight knowing we'll be waiting. NOT OVER!!!! - ty97 Nov 3, 20:36
My sense of dread is receding. -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Nov 3, 20:29 17
- Why? What’s changed? -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 3, 20:31 8
  - Zona locked in. The votes outstanding in Mich, Wis and Penn should all break majority blue. Live odds tightened up significantly. -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Nov 3, 20:41
  - I still feel good about PA (but there's a way to go) -- nm - mud Nov 3, 20:37
  - He can legally possess LSD in Oregon now -- nm - Beryllium Nov 3, 20:33
  - Arizona flipped to blue -- nm - 🦃 TWuG 🚀 Nov 3, 20:32
  - Arizona is a good sign. -- nm - Tim, not a doctor Nov 3, 20:32 3
    - Biden effectively just needs one more battleground win (10 or more EV) -- nm* - Max Nov 3, 20:33 2
      - erm, no? -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 20:35 1
        
        I'm assuming WI+ME is blue, FL+IA is red, so MI, OH, PA, or NC should do it (oh, no, NC ties) -- nm* - Max Nov 3, 20:36
- me too -- nm - mud Nov 3, 20:30 7
  - I am so fucking tired of being worn down by this shit. - 🦃 TWuG 🚀 Nov 3, 20:31 6
    - I love Slackertalk so much. I may also be a little drunk. -- nm - mud Nov 3, 20:35 5
      - What are you wearing? -- nm - Pippy Nov 3, 20:48 2
        
        the rags I usually wear at home. I need a shower. I wish I had a joint. -- nm - mud Nov 3, 20:53 1
        
        Lol! -- nm - Pippy Nov 3, 21:06
      - I thought I would drink tonight. I can't. -- nm - 🦃 TWuG 🚀 Nov 3, 20:36 1
        
        I hardly ever drink anymore, and I spent half my life drunk. I had the worst hangover of my life 4 years ago. - mud Nov 3, 20:41
Arizona being called for Biden by Fox News -- nm* - budice Nov 3, 20:26 3
- Finally. Some. Good. News. -- nm - ty97 Nov 3, 20:27 2
  - FWIW, if Biden does win AZ and he wins *at least one of * ME2/NE2, he can afford to lose PA (but needs WI/MI still). - ty97 Nov 3, 20:28 1
    - WI/MI are going to take a while to finish counting (days) -- nm - Beryllium Nov 3, 20:29
Did multiple states just....go to sleep and stop counting? -- nm* - ty97 Nov 3, 20:25 3
- Many PA counties never planned on even starting to count mail in ballots until tomorrow. -- nm - Dano Nov 3, 20:33 1
  - And Philly has apparently said their next update won't be until tomorrow morning. -- nm* - znufrii Nov 3, 20:35
- Can we go to sleep? -- nm - amanda jeans Nov 3, 20:31
Wolf Blitzer, of all people, saying everyone needs to be patient. -- nm - Max Nov 3, 20:21 2
- I got a little excited earlier, fueled by optimistic early #s, cold lager and my aging silliness. If I caused any consternation I apologize -- nm - mud Nov 3, 20:23
- Here's my patient and rational take. -- (link) - Beryllium Nov 3, 20:23
So I guess the best hope is that the entirety of the mail-in ballots have an extreme left lean, as one might expect from *checks notes* - Beryllium Nov 3, 20:18 1
- Yes—that’s precisely what’s going to happen -- nm - Flavorize 🎃 Nov 3, 20:36
Democrat Sarah McBride (Delaware) becomes First Trans State Senator elected in U.S. History. -- nm - Remlik Nov 3, 20:17
Guys! Guys! I think I transcended anxiety! I while ago, I was overcome with crippling anxiety, lying in bed, unable to move! Now... - Mop Nov 3, 20:13
Starr County Texas. 96% Latino. Clinton+60. Biden+5. -- (link) - Name Withheld By Request Nov 3, 20:12 4
- Dems really bungled the Latino vote. O -- nm - Remlik Nov 3, 20:13 3
  - Jack was saying that a long time ago. -- nm - Volnelk Nov 3, 20:16 2
    - yep, and a lot of us listened to him. -- nm - Diva Nov 3, 20:25
    - Jack is right about a LOT of things. I always listen to him -- nm - Remlik Nov 3, 20:17
I'm watching Direct TV's news mix. It was fun seeing CNN, MSNBC, FOX & NEWSMAX change numbers -- nm - Peglegpete Nov 3, 20:02
I'm very very sober, feeling calm, and I think I'm calling it a night. Stay strong, y'all! -- nm - colin Nov 3, 20:01
Your new, youngest member of the House from NC, a racist with numerous allegations of sexual misconduct and possible ties to white supremacists, who - jnine Nov 3, 19:52 3
- He also talked about how excited he was to visit "the fuehrer's summer house" on insta - colin Nov 3, 19:59 2
  - Great. I was hoping when all of these old white men were out, things would change, but they're just going to be replaced by younger, worse models. -- nm - jnine Nov 3, 20:03 1
    - Politics really brings out the most insane people. -- nm - colin Nov 3, 20:06
I'm legit starving but there is no easy food in my house. I should just drink another beer, right? -- nm - amanda jeans Nov 3, 19:51 3
- Only if you have nothing stronger. -- nm - Ender Nov 3, 20:15
- Yep! -- nm - colin Nov 3, 20:00
- I'm going to. -- nm - znufrii Nov 3, 19:52
I can’t watch. We keep watching other things and then checking in. WTF is wrong with this country? -- nm - pmb Nov 3, 19:45 4
- a lot of stupid racists live here. -- nm - Diva Nov 3, 20:26 2
  - too many dumb fucking racists ..all over the world! -- nm Posted by mud Nov 3 '20, 16:07 -- nm - mud Nov 3, 20:27 1
    - absolutely. -- nm - Diva Nov 3, 20:34
- I just told my wife that I should be much wealthier than I am. There’s a lot of idiots out there. -- nm - Volnelk Nov 3, 19:52
Hey mandy. I can't tell if this is "final" and it's definitely unofficial but looks like Biden won Centre County based on mail in votes. -- (link) - Dano Nov 3, 19:42 1
- I feel better ish. (we only had 34 mail in votes outstanding in spring west.) -- (link) - amanda jeans Nov 3, 19:46
cecilia vega on ABC's jacket is amazing. -- nm - amanda jeans Nov 3, 19:42
There are still 2.2m mail ballots to be counted in PA - about 87% of the total. -- (link) - budice Nov 3, 19:42

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