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In response to "Sorry to impose, guys, but can someone walk me through the Math of why I should be 80% optimistic right now?" by Marlowe

Assuming that NV stays blue, WI and MI both had large primarily democratic leaning precincts yet to report with large quantities of mail in ballots.

Overall, mail in ballots have leaned strongly in bidens favor. As expected as the totals are coming in, both WI and MI are now in Biden's favor and will likely continue. Remember, WI went to trump by only 20k votes in 2016 so a close race is expected.

Again, if NV sticks and WI and MI go blue. It is over. PA, GA and NC don't matter. Biden already has 270.


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