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Posts: 153

ST Prediction Poll — Will a winner be called today? -- nm*

Posted by znufrii Nov 5 '20, 06:32

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Responses:

My guess is that the AP will not. -- nm - mara Nov 5, 07:10
I would like it, but I have doubts. Possible, but tomorow seems more likely. -- nm - ty97 Nov 5, 07:04
PA has been saying Friday all along and I think it ends up being the deciding state so I'll say tomorrow. -- nm - spamlet Nov 5, 06:35 7
- Trump's lead in PA is down to 136,000 -- nm - decline Nov 5, 06:54 5
  - and my county finally just turned blue -- nm - decline Nov 5, 06:58 4
    - YAY! -- nm - Andie Nov 5, 07:28
    - Nice! -- nm - Krusty Nov 5, 07:28
    - Yay! -- nm - znufrii Nov 5, 07:12
    - yay! -- nm - Diva Nov 5, 07:08
- scratch that. I think I'm using an old number. -- nm* - Reagen Nov 5, 06:48
Yes. I think AZ, PA, NV and GA will finalize today. Now - we might have recounts and shit - but Joe Biden will be called today. -- nm - Johnny Lawrence Nov 5, 06:34 11
- Maricopa County won't update again until tonight so you can stop F5ing on AZ. -- nm - spamlet Nov 5, 06:43 1
  - NV expected to update noon-ish EST. -- nm - spamlet Nov 5, 06:45
- GA just said done by noon. -- nm - Reagen Nov 5, 06:40 6
  - They need to get started then. It's 10:15 and nothing so far.. -- nm - Inigo Nov 5, 07:15 1
    - It's still likely Fulton County. They F this up every year. -- nm - Strongbad Nov 5, 07:19
  - And Biden needs to win ~2/3 of the remaining to take the lead but it's going to a recount. -- nm - spamlet Nov 5, 06:42 3
    - Biden's going to win. I just ran some numbers on the vote outstanding and the 70-30 split to him should be a conservative estimate. -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Nov 5, 06:42 2
      - estimate range for me is -0.1 to + 0.3% -- nm - Reagen Nov 5, 06:57
      - Even with 80% of what's left it flips from Trump up 20k to Biden up 20k, so a likely recount. - spamlet Nov 5, 06:45
- not sure PA will be done today -- nm* - decline Nov 5, 06:35 1
  - yep - didn't mean to put them in there. since they're still getting ballots and shit. -- nm - Johnny Lawrence Nov 5, 06:36
I'd love to think so, so optimistically I will say yes. -- nm - Volnelk Nov 5, 06:33
I think both will declare victory. -- nm - Strongbad Nov 5, 06:32 5
- That wasn’t the question. -- nm - znufrii Nov 5, 06:33 2
  - I expect some of the networks to declare a victor but it's pretty complicated for the average person to understand due to lawsuits, recounts, etc. -- nm - Strongbad Nov 5, 06:35 1
    - So your answer is yes. Networks will call a victor today. :P - Inigo Nov 5, 06:40
- They both already have, but will the networks call the states today? -- nm - Inigo Nov 5, 06:33 1
  - Biden didn't "declare", he "predicted" -- nm - mud Nov 5, 07:12

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