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In response to
"What's your read on it?"
by
Beryllium
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Tell me how Erin O'Toole is doing at the start of Week Three and I'll tell you what you can expect.
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1) Polls will move around from current standings. They do in most elections.
2) Most Canadians really don't pay attention until the signs start going up so O'Toole has a hole, but also a lower bar of success to get out of it.
3) The NDP support would almost come exclusively from the Liberals save BC. If they do well, the Tories do well in close chop outcomes.
4) Save for the 2015 campaign, Justin Trudeau almost always sinks in the polls in tandem with the amount of exposure he has to the general public. He may not election well.
5) Liberal minority is the safest prediction right now.
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