|
In response to
"I've been wondering this for a while so would be very interested in seeing anything you have."
by
JaxSean
|
There are a lot of factors that are difficult or impossible to account for -- like how age skews according to party registration ...
|
Rates of COVID infection, and proportion of deaths due to COVID, plus fluctuations in population, increased voter registration, shifting candidate preferences within each party, likelihood of voting in a midterm versus Presidential election, etc. etc.
But given that Trump won Florida by a margin of about half a million votes in Florida (and closer to 470,000), it would take quite a large number of COVID-related deaths to sway the outcome, even if we assume that 4 out of 5 people who die of COVID were hardcore Trump supporters.
|