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In response to
"I think it's an uphill battle, but we don't know a lot of things still. I don't think the impact of these decisions is nothing. It will get more "
by
pmb
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Sabato has a net of 36 toss-up House seats. That’s the over-under line for me on GOP gains.
Posted by
Will Hunting (aka JoeMetz)
Jun 24 '22, 07:52
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Midterms are now wave elections.
2006/10/18 all had large swings
And they tend to all go one way like 95%…it’s not a 20-18 split.
And if it’s that bad a national environment for Dems, a 3-4% range isn’t enough…you’ll see any race 10% or closer in play.
Set the over-under at the toss-up range and hope that the guys in the Leans Dem have a plan in place.
The House is gone.
The Senate…the only hope is that the GOP has some dumb fuckery in play to salvage seats but a good candidate puts any incumbent who won by 8% or less in play. Like Colorado and Nevada.
But then again, my degree was only in poli-sci and I do data analysis for a paycheck so I’m just being negative and defeatist.
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