ST Alpha - "If the % stands for raw votes, Lula would need about 75% of what's left to cross 50%. I don't know if that's true though. -- nm" (Reading a Post)

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If the % stands for raw votes, Lula would need about 75% of what's left to cross 50%. I don't know if that's true though. -- nm

Posted by Reagen Oct 2 '22, 16:32

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The one advantage is that this makes the risk of something truly stupid happening in the short term which would kill the currency, the markets and the - Marlowe Oct 2, 18:16
Good news is, it seems the places where Bozo is strong are closer to done. Not sure if the others are enough, the difference was not that large. - Marlowe Oct 2, 16:40 2
- What is behind the mostly east/west split in support? - Reagen Oct 2, 17:15 1
  - Yep. The Western states are agricultural. Same for the interior of São Paulo. - Marlowe Oct 2, 17:23
stupid runoff 4 weeks off - imagine all the mischief he could make in that time -- nm - mud Oct 2, 16:34 7
- It's gonna be annoying close to 50. Like 48.3. -- nm - Reagen Oct 2, 16:40 6
  - I bow to your powers. With barely more than 1% missing to be counted, he sits at 48.2%. (NM) - Marlowe Oct 2, 18:15 3
    - It means he needs about 20% of the other votes to win the second round, assuming everyone votes again. -- nm - Reagen Oct 2, 18:25 2
      - On paper, the votes for Ciro (3.1%) should be mostly his, and the votes for Tebet, probably around 50-50. - Marlowe Oct 2, 18:40 1
        
        Which would make it about a 54/46 second round. -- nm - Reagen Oct 2, 18:57
  - more -- (link) - mud Oct 2, 16:54 1
    - In some ways this year is worse than 2018. - Marlowe Oct 2, 17:03

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