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In response to "It means he needs about 20% of the other votes to win the second round, assuming everyone votes again. -- nm" by Reagen

On paper, the votes for Ciro (3.1%) should be mostly his, and the votes for Tebet, probably around 50-50.

The two guys with roughly 0.5% are 99% Bozo, and out of those with roughly 0.1% he should get around 60% of those.

So, on paper, well, he can win this. But it will be hard to gauge how things are evolving given the horrible quality of the polls.


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