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In response to "Someone should be using their influence to have Sinema offered a private sector job with an obscene salary so she doesn't run for a second term." by TWuG

thanks for reminding me to think about this. so she's independent now. is the makeup if her district such that she can win as an I? or would she

Posted by judge amanda jones (aka amanda) Dec 9 '22, 09:04

be unseated by a D challenger?

Responses:

She's an Arizona Senator. If she's run as an Ind, the Dems can either run against her and split the vote (R wins) or cede it to her to run as Ind. -- (edited) - ty97 Dec 9, 09:09 9
- she has like 10% approval in the AZ Dem party. and the GOP still has to nominate someone more palatable than Sinema -- nm - hollywood big shot Dec 9, 09:18 8
  - also doing it in a presidential turnout year, depending on the GOP nom, probably not ideal for ticket splitting shenanigans -- nm - hollywood big shot Dec 9, 09:21 7
    - Right, that's her gamble, that the Dems will get behind her as an Ind. -- nm - ty97 Dec 9, 09:23 6
      - as this tweeter notes she wants to be a Murkowski but she doesn't live in Alaska -- (link) - hollywood big shot Dec 9, 09:28 5
        
        Our best hope is she doesn't run for for re-election. If she does, there are two main choices for the Dems: - ty97 Dec 9, 09:29 4
        
        the AZ GOP still has to not nominate a Blake Masters or Kari Lake opponent - hollywood big shot Dec 9, 09:37 3
        
        As bad as they were, they came with 4-5 points or closer of winning. - Will Hunting Dec 9, 09:52 1
        
        great, nominate Kari Lake and see how that works out for you -- nm - hollywood big shot Dec 9, 09:56
        
        (and the prospect of thinking Sinema splits votes with Dems probably emboldens them to go harder right, esp if Trump is on the ballot) -- nm - hollywood big shot Dec 9, 09:40
If Dems run a candidate, then the Dem vote is weakened by her run as an Ind, leading to a GOP pick up of the seat - TWuG Dec 9, 09:07 3
- Bottom line, the only thing Sinema is in this for is herself, so get her a high paid gig and end the charade. -- nm - TWuG Dec 9, 09:09 2
  - i think the same brain trust that was doomsdaying all the horror of a normal red wave midterm should probably slow their roll on predicting this 2 yrs - hollywood big shot Dec 9, 09:45 1
    - She's worthing getting out of the Senate regardless of chances in 2 years -- nm - TWuG Dec 9, 09:54
one hypothesis floating around twitter is she specifically did do this to avoid a Dem challenger in 2024 which would split the vote and probably let a - decline Dec 9, 09:06 6
- i think AZ Dems hatred of her is much more unifying than the odds that she won't draw votes from a Kari Lake style GOP nominee -- nm* - hollywood big shot Dec 9, 09:16
- Say what you will about her, but that's a shrewd political move. -- nm - Dano Claus Dec 9, 09:10 3
  - Very shrewd. She's gross, but it's shrewd. -- nm - ty97 Dec 9, 09:11 2
    - nah, she's a big dum dum and Schumer never should have backed her without a primary -- nm - hollywood big shot Dec 9, 09:58
    - this -- nm - decline Dec 9, 09:14
- That seems to be the consensus, as far as I’ve seen. - znufrii Dec 9, 09:07

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thanks for reminding me to think about this. so she's independent now. is the makeup if her district such that she can win as an I? or would she

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