ST Alpha - "Biden live address on Trump just now: 3 minutes. He did great. Now we know the perfect duration for a Biden statement. -- nm" (Reading a Post)

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Biden live address on Trump just now: 3 minutes. He did great. Now we know the perfect duration for a Biden statement. -- nm

Posted by Mop🧹 (aka rburriel) Jul 14 '24, 11:11

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Responses:

two weeks after debate night the election remains a coin flip nationally and would still be a coin flip with any other Dem non -- (link) - hollywood big shot Jul 14, 11:13 9
- Just like 2020 it’s always going to have been a referendum of Trump. - Dano Jul 14, 11:38
- I ultimately think the softness in his support is "I would like someone else please" reluctance that will sap away as the choice becomes distinct - Reagen Jul 14, 11:21 6
  - This is my instinct, but 2016 taught me I can be wrong. -- nm - loosilu Jul 14, 11:37 1
    - Like 10% for Kennedy? No. Fuck off with that. - Reagen Jul 14, 11:41
  - I’m not seeing the downballot polling that DSCC/DHCC are (but also who knows?) so I get the argument for trying to rescue those races - hollywood big shot Jul 14, 11:28 3
    - I see there being a lot of "up ballot" voting as people turn out for abortion rights and similar causes. -- nm - Mop🧹 Jul 14, 11:31 2
      - in theory but presidential year turnout /= off-year turnout, which makes an apples to apples extrapolation hard -- nm - hollywood big shot Jul 14, 11:35 1
        
        like I know it’s on the ballot in FL but (1) they have to hit 60% and (2) I have no idea how much actual mobilization of pro-referendum voters is - hollywood big shot Jul 14, 11:37
- Still dont mind the wakeup call tho. - budice Jul 14, 11:19

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