ST Alpha - "I think they were off in 2020. I don't think they predicted a PV spread that big. The EC makes everything more complicated (needlessly so). -- nm" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "If that's true, it would have been true in 2020 as well. Also, I think polls adjusted for historical/expected turnout. " by ty97

I think they were off in 2020. I don't think they predicted a PV spread that big. The EC makes everything more complicated (needlessly so). -- nm

Posted by pmb (aka pmb) Sep 13 '24, 13:42

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Polls were off in 2020, at least in the key swing states. They overstated Biden by a few points. -- (edited) - ty97 Sep 13, 13:50 2
- But in the mid-terms it largely went the other way (remember the red wave?). -- nm - pmb Sep 13, 14:07 1
  - Yes, but mid-terms have acted differently -- nm - ty97 Sep 13, 14:35

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