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In response to
"US won't nationalize anything. They could push for Musk to be out, but he's (smartly) the majority owner. He will just get into a war and space stuff "
by
colin
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and then it becomes a lessor of evils. Root for ULA (and I guess whoever ends up buying them) or Bezos and Blue Origin
Posted by
JD (aka Jason Dean)
Oct 29 '24, 09:53
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On an optimistic note, for smaller payloads there's never been more competition so there's that.
Space X sans government contracts is interesting and I think the majority of the Falcon 9 payloads are actually internal with Starlink satellites. Then there's a fair amount of commercial payloads such as communications satellites that are purely private and thus have no ESA restrictions so Space X would remain the leading competitor. I wonder if they would raise their prices?
Point being I think that a purely private Space X would still remain a viable company.
I also think that unless ULA and the new Vulcan get their act together, there would be a short term market for Space Force / CIA launches and those agencies behind the cover of National Security / Secrecy would claim time sensitivity and they have to get a bird into a certain orbit right now (well, relatively right now) and they would go to provider that who get X tons into Y orbit.
er, at the same time, I can't see that those same agencies would ever let one of those satellites be transported to Europe or...hmmmm...Russia, maybe China have similarly capable launch vehicles.
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