ST Alpha - "- net 10% change from 2020." (Reading a Post)

SlickerTalk
Search Archives
The Leaderboard
The FAQ

Down to Post

Backboards:

Posts: 153

In response to "Final Selzer poll of Iowa: HARRIS +3 -- (link)" by ty97

- net 10% change from 2020.

Posted by Will Hunting (aka JoeMetz) Nov 2 '24, 16:20

If she’s right…it might be a huge night for the Democrats.

Responses:

“In a June 2024 Selzer poll, Trump led Biden by 18 points” -- nm - mr mooch Nov 2, 16:45 2
- I don't really pay attention anything but the finals Selzer polls. Too much fluctuation otherwise. -- nm - ty97 Nov 2, 18:37
- if she is running up these margins with senior voters (senior women specifically) in more blue states than Iowa…. -- (link) - mr mooch Nov 2, 16:48
Four years ago at this time, polls were showing a Iowa close-ish, and Biden wiping the floor across the board with Trump. Then Selzer came in +7 Trump -- (edited) - ty97 Nov 2, 16:22 7
- If she’s right, down ballot might be huge because 2020 was assumed Biden and no one wanted him with a majority… - Will Hunting Nov 2, 16:26 6
  - Yeah, this is tough to google for. What is this about people voting for Biden but then wanting Republicans in Congress? Pls and thank you. -- nm - con_carne Nov 2, 16:31 5
    - People in 2020 didn't *like* Biden's policies but didn't want Trump. Best way for that to be the case is to have - Will Hunting Nov 2, 16:45 2
      - Thanks! -- nm - con_carne Nov 2, 16:59 1
        
        I could be wrong, but I think it's as realistic as anything to explain that particular set of polling misses above and beyond his own. -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 2, 17:21
    - Theory is anti Trump Republicans won’t vote for him but want to put a check on Kamala by giving her a Republican Congress. -- nm - Dano Nov 2, 16:40 1
      - I think that was 2020 --- this year, the fact it's so damn close in theory, you might see a silent wave go the other way in case he wins. -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 2, 16:46

Post a message top

- net 10% change from 2020.

Replies are disabled on threads older than 7 days.