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Posts: 173

I am buying sidewalk chalk today to chalk the "no fly zone" outside of our polling place entrance. The anti choice dude and his - amanda Nov 3, 06:57 13
- love. it. -- nm - Andie Nov 3, 08:10
- "Fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, you're cool, fuck you. I'm outta here!" - Krusty Nov 3, 07:11 6
  - In PA the rule is ten feet, not 100. We have an outer door and an inner door so I think the anti choice people think - amanda Nov 3, 07:27 5
    - I know you're going to be super busy, but if your polling place needs a pizza delivery or three on Tuesday, just let us know. -- nm - mara Nov 3, 07:36 3
      - This. Let us know -- nm - Pippy Nov 3, 08:09
      - Great idea, I'll chip in for pizza. -- nm - Krusty Nov 3, 07:44
      - yeah! -- nm - prayformojo Nov 3, 07:37
    - 10'? Yeesh. I'd be like you and enforce it strictly from the outer door. Best of luck with the election and thank you for doing it! -- nm* - Krusty Nov 3, 07:31
- Bravo!! - Fuzzy Nov 3, 07:09
- 👍👍 -- nm - mud Nov 3, 07:00
- BITCH I SAID WE AINT GOING BACK! -- nm - Pippy Nov 3, 07:00 1
  - But you and your signs are! -- nm - Dano Nov 3, 07:05
- THIS MEANS U -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 06:59
For Fuzzy… -- (pic) - David Nov 3, 06:56 [Attachment] 6
- Love this! - Fuzzy Nov 3, 07:11 1
  - it's so immersively cinematic -- nm - prayformojo Nov 3, 07:38
- The experience of this room is wild - Reagen Nov 3, 07:09
- You you able to get into Orlando on time? -- nm - prayformojo Nov 3, 06:59 2
  - Smoothest travel ever in my life - David Nov 3, 07:32 1
    - wow. very glad to hear it - savor this victory! -- nm - prayformojo Nov 3, 07:38
Dont even tunein to NFL Pregame shows anymore. Just get Active List and carry on. -- nm - budice Nov 3, 06:55
The SNL skit with "What's My Name?" is great. - Will Hunting Nov 3, 06:36 1
- you can feel Mulaney's writing all over his lines. -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 06:44
Funny thing is that this election probably shouldn’t be close either way and it’s all because of Trump. - Dano Nov 3, 06:22 13
- i think it's equally impressive (if not more) what Harris has done in 100 days with Biden 5-10 pts down, without even making the "better off 4 years" - mr mooch Nov 3, 07:28
- The Republicans (with the help of the media) turned the definition of a good economy into... -- (edited) - Inigo Nov 3, 06:34 11
  - I also see it as a failure of the democrats to get the message out to the general public. The only person that seems to do anything is Buttigieg and - Krusty Nov 3, 07:16 9
    - The simpler message is "times are tough, things are bad" - Roger More Nov 3, 07:25 4
      - It's also a weird recovery in that it's so lower-income focused - Reagen Nov 3, 07:29 3
        
        Hey, a Q about the election quiz. For highest third party, you are asking for the top three in order? -- nm - Roger More Nov 3, 07:41 2
        
        doesn't have to be in order. -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 08:07
        
        (also, a suggestion: Enter Nate Silver/538 as a control) -- nm - Roger More Nov 3, 07:43
    - I figured after Biden was co-pilot for Obama's silent leadership for his 8 years, that he wouldn't repeat the mistakes. He did. - Will Hunting Nov 3, 07:24 2
      - Probably not a coincidence that Obama and Biden both came to the executive through the Senate. -- nm - Roger More Nov 3, 07:28 1
        
        I think it came from 2 different ends of the spectrum. - Will Hunting Nov 3, 07:49
    - It's also a heavily normalcy-biased and horse-race obsessed media - Reagen Nov 3, 07:24
  - 100% -- nm - Pippy Nov 3, 06:59
I need to figure out how to curate my BlueSky feed better. It's just so much politics and weird furry/erotic drawings/art. -- (edited) - Krusty Nov 3, 06:12 5
- The Electronic Frontier Foundation has a good summary of how to tweak your Bluesky feed. -- (link) - ReluctantCynic Nov 3, 06:43 2
  - Grazie! -- nm - Krusty Nov 3, 06:48
  - thx! -- nm - mud Nov 3, 06:47
- Don’t worry. The politics will die down after next week. -- nm - Dano Nov 3, 06:14 1
  - I hope so but it's basically been like this since I joined. I tried searching for things like sneakers but it doesn't seem the sneaker community from - Krusty Nov 3, 06:21
Dano's Top 20 Songs of October - Dano Nov 3, 06:06
final NYT/Siena state polls dropped (generally have been more favorable to Trump but all either tied or narrow Harris edges now) -- (link) - mr mooch Nov 3, 06:04
The Rills - Don't Be a Stranger -- it's like a 50/50 mashup of Kaiser Chiefs and Arctic Monkeys. -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 05:42 1
- (maybe some Manic Street Preachers in there too) -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 05:44
"um....it's actually pronounced 'jaslighting'...." -- nm - prayformojo Nov 3, 05:41 1
- hee -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 05:45
TIL: Richard Harris performed MacArthur Park. Now we know the real reason Little Bill thrashed English Bob -- nm - Bayronmax Nov 3, 05:33
a typical sunday morning activity - a cormorant wandered into our yard, wrapped up in a bunch of fishing line - Reagen Nov 3, 05:16
Murdle 2:17 - Fuzzy Nov 3, 04:43 5
- 4:53 - I couldn't get the message fully decoded - sp - prayformojo Nov 3, 05:04 4
  - Spoiler - Fuzzy Nov 3, 05:07 3
    - I put it in the anagram server and didn't get anything recognizable -- nm - prayformojo Nov 3, 05:40 2
      - Spoiler - Fuzzy Nov 3, 05:56 1
        
        ah. thank you -- nm - prayformojo Nov 3, 05:56
according to their SoS, Iowa counts fast, and should be done by 10 pm election night. So we'll know quickly whether that poll was true or not. -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 04:34 32
- It was 11:00 (their time) in 2016. My goal now is to stay up long enough to see at least one swing state called (NC seems likeliest) plus Iowa. -- nm - mara Nov 3, 06:31 2
  - Michigan is allowed to tabulate early vote this time around so probably not a late night call again -- nm - mr mooch Nov 3, 06:33 1
    - Ah, thanks. -- nm - mara Nov 3, 06:35
- Just saw this Seltzer poll. This is definitely a dream scenario for Harris. I thought I was optimistically hoping for Trump +2. Wow! -- nm - Inigo Nov 3, 06:22
- Same size of 808 feels cray to hang your reputation on. (Note that I could totally see this result being true.) -- nm* - amanda Nov 3, 05:23 12
  - most analysis of the crosstabs seems to come down to "women who remember what life was like before Roe are breaking for Kamala en masse" also, Tariffs -- (edited) - mr mooch Nov 3, 06:01
  - Statistics is wild. -- nm - znufrii Nov 3, 05:40 9
    - For example, the Birthday Paradox, which seems impossible even when you understand the math. - Bayronmax Nov 3, 06:13 2
      - What's it....23 people? -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 3, 06:14 1
        
        yup. -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 06:23
    - I always liked stats (I know, you're all shocked) but seeing the physical implications of sample sizes was really wild in my stats class. -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 05:43 5
      - I just always think there are so many demos to represent. Like white ladies with postgrad degrees living in large towns who usually but - amanda Nov 3, 05:47 4
        
        There's a lot of correlation between these groups though - Reagen Nov 3, 05:57 3
        
        But what about atheists vs agnostics?? -- nm - mara Nov 3, 06:37 2
        
        I don't care and I don't know. - Reagen Nov 3, 06:45 1
        
        Heh -- nm - mara Nov 3, 06:45
  - It's a surprisingly sufficient size if your sample is truly well distributed - Reagen Nov 3, 05:30
- Emerson Iowa poll yesterday had Trump +9 -- nm - Dano Nov 3, 04:51 14
  - I wonder what Selzer is thinking. Being the outlier that much has to be nerve-wracking. -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 3, 05:02 13
    - a big difference is that she apparently asks "are you voting" and uses that, while the other polls are using some secret sauce to make it match - Reagen Nov 3, 05:14 12
      - It certainly seems compelling to argue that polling firms in general are over-engineering their results out of fear of missing again -- (edited) - znufrii Nov 3, 05:32 5
        
        Agreeance. The one thing that really makes think it's true is women. Trump's campaign is intimating that the results are bad becase - amanda Nov 3, 05:44 4
        
        If Selzer is to be believed, it's old women to the rescue. -- nm* - Dano Nov 3, 06:16 1
        
        the other thing is that while momentum is hard to measure, it can be a snowball running downhill at shocks - Reagen Nov 3, 07:11
        
        NYT et al: "The story of this first post-Dobbs presidential election is how disaffected young single men, the most important group - are feeling" -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 05:46 1
        
        nathanfillion.gif -- nm - znufrii Nov 3, 05:49
      - Whatever her methods, the large gap has to be scary. Either she’s got a bad method this time or they do. - Will Hunting Nov 3, 05:26 2
        
        (and some Trump surrogate came out with "nuh uh, our internals say +5" - which is just "oh so we're only lightly fucked") -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 05:34
        
        Not uncharted territory for her to be in - last time, aggregate was T +1.5 or so. - Reagen Nov 3, 05:33
      - Yeah. I think she trusts her process and reports the results without trying to force them into something that "makes sense." -- nm - Dano Nov 3, 05:19 2
        
        Based on even her own polls, if true this seems to be late breaking. MSG could have actually been the tipping point. Remains to be seen of course. - Dano Nov 3, 05:35 1
        
        re: your last line - I was gonna say "sorta sounds like the campaign a narcissist might run!" -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 05:38
Strands #245 “In my kingdom” Yellow 1st - decline Nov 3, 04:11
TV PSA: NFL, Tracker, Simpsons, Universal Basic Guys, Equalizer, Bob's Burgers, Krapopolis, Tulsa King, Special Ops Lioness, From, The Penguin, -- (edited) - Beaker 🍺 Nov 3, 04:09
Connections Puzzle #511 GYBP - decline Nov 3, 03:59 2
- PGBY - mud Nov 3, 06:31
- BGYP - spoiler - prayformojo Nov 3, 04:50
Wordle 1,233 4/6 - decline Nov 3, 03:58 1
- 5 - prayformojo Nov 3, 04:46
Sunset will be at 4:55 pm today... -- nm - decline Nov 3, 03:56 1
- I hate standard time -- nm - Fuzzy Nov 3, 04:39
and definitely not based on Travis & Taylor, so please don't sue Lifetime you two -- (link) - mr mooch Nov 2, 23:28 4
- How did they beat Hallmark to this? -- nm - Tim Nov 3, 06:10
- L4! -- nm - Pippy Nov 3, 05:46
- Lifetime “Original” -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 3, 04:20
- Hilarious. -- nm - Andie Nov 3, 03:45
Harvey Epstein - Jovian Nov 2, 21:58
I am buying the Reece’s pumpkin shaped candy tonight. I am not made out of stone! -- (edited) - Qale Nov 2, 21:46 8
- Hell yeah! -- nm - Krusty Nov 3, 04:35
- I hope the PB & Chocolate ratio is perfect to your taste. -- nm - Peglegpete Nov 2, 22:42
- You deserve it. -- nm - con_carne Nov 2, 22:22 3
  - Clap, clap, clap clap clap? -- nm - Qale Nov 2, 22:30 2
    - Flattering, but no. -- nm - con_carne Nov 2, 22:52 1
      - Oh my! 😈 -- nm - Qale Nov 2, 23:00
- Thanksgiving Special!! -- nm - Meg Nov 2, 21:51 1
  - Premium chocolate at 98 cents is a deal! - Qale Nov 2, 22:04
Survivor was great this week spoils - Jovian Nov 2, 21:24
USC and Oregon are having very different Big Ten experiences. -- nm - Volnelk 🍊 Nov 2, 21:17
"I exist, I'm a senator representing Virginia." -- nm - Max Nov 2, 20:53 1
- Just fantastic -- nm - Jovian Nov 2, 21:04
YouTube just recommended to me a *NEW* music video from Sixpence None The Richer. -- (link) - Mop🧹 Nov 2, 20:53 [youtube] 2
- .... Oh! - colin Nov 2, 21:08
- they're on tour and they were just here. -- nm - Remlik Nov 2, 20:57
The first playoff rankings are going to be nutty with A&M, Clemson and Iowa State all losing. Pitt and Penn State too. -- nm - Volnelk 🍊 Nov 2, 20:42 2
- It's kinda crazy to think that Boise State and SMU are legitimate top 10 teams - Will Hunting Nov 2, 20:52
- The Aggies were who I though they were - ty97 Nov 2, 20:47
excellent written and acted SNL opening -- nm - Peglegpete Nov 2, 20:39
that rocked. -- nm - mud Nov 2, 20:38
Now that was a crowd pop. -- nm - Volnelk 🍊 Nov 2, 20:37
Joel needs to get outta Philly -- (link) - mr mooch Nov 2, 20:25
Ahem. Dylan Sampson has 19 TDs. More people should know about him. - Volnelk 🍊 Nov 2, 20:14 3
- I had him for 2+ TDs last night but I stupidly included it in a parley - J Nov 3, 04:53
- I’m curious why the hell Desean Bishop isn’t getting more carries. He’s averaging 7yds a carry. - Will Hunting Nov 2, 20:36 1
  - He usually gets the third series. Not sure why they went to Lewis so quick tonight though. -- nm - Volnelk 🍊 Nov 2, 20:39
lol Padres -- (link) - mr mooch Nov 2, 20:11 1
- That seems to be a frequent situation in the DR. -- nm - Mop🧹 Nov 2, 20:35
Watching the Martha Stewart documentary on Netflix reminds me of one thing… -- (edited) - znufrii Nov 2, 19:43
Tyson, 58, has said that his other personality...Iron Mike has returned.... - Remlik Nov 2, 19:41 2
- I have two confessions about this fight. - Mop🧹 Nov 2, 20:39 1
  - Everyone wants that. -- nm - J Nov 3, 04:54
If every state shifts the same amount as the Selzer poll says Iowa did…Electoral Map 🗺️ -- (edited) - Trending Nov 2, 19:41 [Attachment] 3
- And of course even if Iowa, Texas, and Florida don't go blue, this has good implications for US House, US Senate, and state races. -- nm - mara Nov 3, 07:11
- WTF Maine. -- nm - Mop🧹 Nov 2, 20:05
- 126 is high. I don't think Trump will get 3 digits electoral college numbers. -- nm - Peglegpete Nov 2, 19:49
ty, I don't see how Nixon's pardon allowed America to move on. It meant that ordinary Americans decided to stop talking about Watergate and Vietnam - Roger More Nov 2, 19:40 1
- stopping talking about something *is* "moving on", duh. -- nm* - znufrii Nov 2, 20:15
Bad news for that French dude. -- (pic) - Volnelk 🍊 Nov 2, 19:37 [Attachment] 3
- Is this some polyamorous dating app -- nm - Max Nov 2, 21:18
- Well after the Billy Bush tape wS released, UK bookies began paying off Hillary bettors because no way donny could win. -- nm - zeitgeist Nov 2, 20:45
- Oh darn… -- nm - znufrii Nov 2, 19:38
Being able to make field goals is for nerds. All it takes is defense and touchdowns. -- nm - Volnelk 🍊 Nov 2, 19:20
Survivor contestant and White Lotus creator Mike White also wrote… - Mop🧹 Nov 2, 19:08 5
- and School of Rock -- nm - mr mooch Nov 2, 19:09 4
  - and Chuck & Buck -- nm - Dano Nov 2, 19:13 3
    - and Orange County -- nm - J Nov 3, 05:18
    - That was such a great awful movie. And I’ve seen a lot of deliberately awful movies. -- nm - Qale Nov 2, 19:35 1
      - I remember enjoying it when I saw it at the time, probably because I didn't know any better. -- nm - znufrii Nov 2, 20:16
97, the alt-history of not pardoning Nixon likely goes something like this. - Will Hunting Nov 2, 18:59 3
- I'm not sure I buy that (kitchen table economics and all) but I'm interested in the broader effect. - ty97 Nov 2, 20:41 2
  - I could be convinced if the pardon came with the price of a guilty plea, not an anticipatory one. -- (edited) - znufrii Nov 2, 21:09 1
    - Yup -- nm - mara Nov 3, 04:17
Mets reported offer to Soto: $660m/12 yrs -- (link) - mr mooch Nov 2, 18:58 5
- (apparently this is not true) -- (link) - mr mooch Nov 2, 20:28
- (though I assume all of these big deals will be structured like Ohtani’s going forward, 90% deferred so what really is a winning offer now?) -- nm - mr mooch Nov 2, 19:02 2
  - I highly doubt that. Soto doesn't make much in endorsements like Ohtani who makes a massive fortune and doesn't need his MLB salary. -- (edited) - Krusty Nov 2, 19:05 1
    - If it's not deferred, it's a 20% jump in AAV over Ohtani's as an opening. That can't make MLB happy. - Will Hunting Nov 2, 19:11
- That escalated quickly. (They do have a lot coming off the books since they’re no longer responsible for Scherzer and Verlander) -- nm - Tim Nov 2, 19:01
Feel free to steal that. I did - rollo Nov 2, 18:56
get in Tester, you’re winning -- (link) - mr mooch Nov 2, 18:52 1
- I don't know anything about this. I will Google. -- nm - amanda Nov 3, 05:27
Saturday night is alright for fightin' -- nm - Beaker 🍻 Nov 2, 18:47 3
- What more can a poor boy do, cept sing in a rock n roll band -- nm - zeitgeist Nov 2, 20:46
- One more saturday Night -- (link) - Peglegpete Nov 2, 19:35 [youtube]
- *punches you in the goiter* -- nm - ty97 Nov 2, 18:52

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