ST Alpha - "It certainly seems compelling to argue that polling firms in general are over-engineering their results out of fear of missing again -- (edited)" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "a big difference is that she apparently asks "are you voting" and uses that, while the other polls are using some secret sauce to make it match" by Reagen

It certainly seems compelling to argue that polling firms in general are over-engineering their results out of fear of missing again -- (edited)

Posted by znufrii Nov 3 '24, 05:32

Combined with the skew of bad faith pollsters flooding the zone with shit polls to mess with the averages.

I’m hopeful, but how much of that is confirmation bias of wishful thinking?

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Agreeance. The one thing that really makes think it's true is women. Trump's campaign is intimating that the results are bad becase - amanda Nov 3, 05:44 4
- If Selzer is to be believed, it's old women to the rescue. -- nm* - Dano Nov 3, 06:16 1
  - the other thing is that while momentum is hard to measure, it can be a snowball running downhill at shocks - Reagen Nov 3, 07:11
- NYT et al: "The story of this first post-Dobbs presidential election is how disaffected young single men, the most important group - are feeling" -- nm - Reagen Nov 3, 05:46 1
  - nathanfillion.gif -- nm - znufrii Nov 3, 05:49

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It certainly seems compelling to argue that polling firms in general are over-engineering their results out of fear of missing again -- (edited)

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