ST Alpha - "Why take the risk if you can end it without giving the other team a chance?" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "His defense had intercepted Manning twice already (including the previous series). why not give them a shot at #3 when you know he's forcing throws? -- nm" by Guy

Why take the risk if you can end it without giving the other team a chance?

Posted by David (aka David) Nov 16 '09, 14:21

You don't fold a winning hand now because you think you might get an even better hand later.

Responses:

He went for a gut shot straight instead of waiting to play the next hand. -- nm - pmb Nov 16, 14:24 12
- I see it as the other guy sucking out on the river after he led the whole hand. - David Nov 16, 14:26 11
  - It's the risk-reward that's all screwed up. If you're at the Colts 40 you go for it. But deep in your territory you play the odds. And the odds are - pmb Nov 16, 14:29 3
    - Again, you're worrying about the second thing prematurely. - David Nov 16, 14:34 2
      - I see, but you can't look at the decision in a vaccuum. The decision is a chance with good odds of succeeding versus terrible consequences if you - pmb Nov 16, 14:43 1
        
        This is where we disagree. I see this as the decision that -does- take place in a vacuum. - David Nov 16, 14:47
  - see, i would have felt better if they went big on it. Colts know you're going short, so go long, or play a flea flicker. - Guy Nov 16, 14:27 6
    - That's a silly needless risk. The play call worked. Faulk just didn't make the play clean. -- nm - David Nov 16, 14:29 5
      - I agree to that extent, I think it could be argued that the route needs to be run 1 yard deeper. - musubi Nov 16, 14:33 4
        
        he wouldn't have even gotten his hands on it to bobble if he went deeper. it was well covered. -- nm - Guy Nov 16, 14:38
        
        I think that with the pass rush the Colts were getting, they couldn't risk it. - David Nov 16, 14:36 2
        
        That just argues more for punting. If you can't risk running your route 2 yards deeper you're taking too big a risk. -- nm - pmb Nov 16, 14:47 1
        
        I'd buy that if the play as called hadn't had such a strong chance of success. - David Nov 16, 14:50

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Why take the risk if you can end it without giving the other team a chance?

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