ST Alpha - "Brady's historical performance on 4th down is even better than what he uses. And there is no way that Peyton was only 30% to get in at the end either. -- nm" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "I don't buy his math. " by musubi

Brady's historical performance on 4th down is even better than what he uses. And there is no way that Peyton was only 30% to get in at the end either. -- nm

Posted by TFox Nov 16 '09, 16:43

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Responses:

agree. you give the colts a huge momentum swing, hand the ball to the best qb ever after showing no confidence in your defense. I would say the td was - dogbert Nov 16, 16:51 3
- Yes, because a 79 yard TD drive in under 2 minutes gave them no momentum. - the wrong element, bad guy Nov 16, 16:55 2
  - I can only assume this is sarcasm, but it seems to show even more evidence the choice was poor. yes, indy has tons of momentum which would tip the - dogbert Nov 16, 17:01
  - Momentum is horsehockey. It was all about field position and time on the clock. - musubi Nov 16, 16:58
Yup on both those. I am not convinced there is enough sample size for last minute drives to say those historical percentages are significant. - musubi Nov 16, 16:47 5
- There haven't been enough two-minute drills where a team needed a touchdown to get a success rate? For shame, musubi. -- nm - TFox Nov 16, 16:49 4
  - Starting from the opponents 30? That happens almost never. - musubi Nov 16, 16:52 3
    - Also, this statement, "But any adjustment in their likelihood of scoring from either field position increases the advantage of going for it." - musubi Nov 16, 16:57 2
      - I agree with you on that. Drop him a comment and see if he replies. -- nm - David Nov 16, 17:00 1
        
        Maybe after I go home, it's time to roll. 'night TT. (nm) - musubi Nov 16, 17:02

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