ST Alpha - "Also, this statement, "But any adjustment in their likelihood of scoring from either field position increases the advantage of going for it." " (Reading a Post)

SlickerTalk
Search Archives
The Leaderboard
The FAQ

Down to Post

Backboards:

Posts: 162

In response to "Starting from the opponents 30? That happens almost never." by musubi

Also, this statement, "But any adjustment in their likelihood of scoring from either field position increases the advantage of going for it."

Posted by musubi Nov 16 '09, 16:57

doesn't work for me.

If the Colts are 70% more likely to score from inside the 30, than from 70 yards away, that does switch it. His assumption is that an adjustment that an increased in scoring probability is also balanced by an increase in scoring from 70, doesn't work. That assumes a linear adjustment that again doesn't pass the smell test.

Responses:

I agree with you on that. Drop him a comment and see if he replies. -- nm - David Nov 16, 17:00 1
- Maybe after I go home, it's time to roll. 'night TT. (nm) - musubi Nov 16, 17:02

Post a message top

Also, this statement, "But any adjustment in their likelihood of scoring from either field position increases the advantage of going for it."

Replies are disabled on threads older than 7 days.