ST Alpha - "My prediction for New Moon is currently at 112 million which would put it right around the Pirates sequels. -- (link)" (Reading a Post)

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My prediction for New Moon is currently at 112 million which would put it right around the Pirates sequels. -- (link)

Posted by Qale (aka Qale) Nov 19 '09, 13:24

(No message)

linky (boxofficemojo.com)

Responses:

My theatre is giving it 2 screens (out of 10). -- nm - Shaun Nov 19, 13:40 12
- Mine has Precious on 4 screens. So does that mean it's going to make 100 million + this weekend? - Qale Nov 19, 13:45
- are they larger capacity, though? -- nm - b. Nov 19, 13:43 1
  - I would guess the 2 biggest screens, yes. -- nm - Shaun Nov 19, 13:44
- i just checked the big flagship downtown theatre, they have 'advaned previews' tonight at 10:10, 10:20, and 10:30. The first two are sold out. -- nm - Elf Andie Nov 19, 13:42 8
  - and don't forget about the $300 "gala" with two minor stars tonight at the Winter Garden -- nm - zork Nov 19, 13:43
  - We have 19 midnights at one theater tonight. 18 are sold out. -- nm - Callisto Nov 19, 13:43 5
    - Seven out of eight at another theater. -- nm - Callisto Nov 19, 13:45 4
      - Gross. -- nm - Shaun Nov 19, 13:46 3
        
        All I know is that every girl/woman I know is legitimately talking about going to see it. - Callisto Nov 19, 13:48 2
        
        I know a total of 1 people going. -- nm - Spawn Nov 19, 13:51 1
        
        Does Amy like Twilight? -- nm - David Nov 19, 13:51
  - Aye we have 2 this evening as well and both are sold out. -- nm - Shaun Nov 19, 13:43
115.741 million -- nm - scorpion Nov 19, 13:36
My gut says you're low. I swear to God. - David Nov 19, 13:35 10
- What's the TDK record for the 3 days? -- nm - JaxSean Nov 19, 13:39 3
  - 158 -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 19, 13:40 1
    - This is right. -- nm - Shaun Nov 19, 13:41
  - ~$167M iirc. -- nm - Shaun Nov 19, 13:40
- I can't guage these ridiculous openings anymore. -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 19, 13:37 2
  - *cries* -- nm - 312.50 Nov 19, 13:37 1
    - I guessed 108 and I can easily envision missing it by 20% -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 19, 13:38
- There is a bet there. -- nm - Spawn Nov 19, 13:36 1
  - "OK, so, if I'm wrong - by more than five million either way - I win!" -- nm - Beryllium Nov 19, 13:38
- oh, no, I wouldn't be surprised if it made stupidmoney. Just so long as no one tries to say it's a masterpiece. :) -- nm - Beryllium Nov 19, 13:36
You're asking for a $28,000+ PSA from a wide release in November for a limited-demographic movie. -- nm - Max Nov 19, 13:28 54
- "limited-demographic movie" -- there's your problem. -- nm - Qale Nov 19, 13:28 53
  - Do you *really* think you're going to have a lot of guys in the theater for this? -- nm - Max Nov 19, 13:30 22
    - Bella is hawt. -- nm - JaxSean Nov 19, 13:38 10
      - if you're in to chins. -- nm - Reagen Nov 19, 13:43
      - word -- nm - Cappie Nov 19, 13:42
      - is she? is she really? -- nm - Elf Andie Nov 19, 13:39 7
        
        I find her attractive, and her nonchallant attitude is kind of sexy, too. - JaxSean Nov 19, 13:49
        
        She's moderately attractive, not the least bit bright and will do anything for a boy. For some guys, she's the ultimate woman. -- nm - David Nov 19, 13:46
        
        All I can say is her and Pattinson must be loads of fun at parties. - Will Hunting Nov 19, 13:41 4
        
        He was a completely different person back when he was Cedrick. I have no idea what the hell happened to him. -- nm - Qale Nov 19, 13:46 3
        
        He's taken some pretty good career advice to just go with the nonsense of it now then apologize for it later. -- nm - David Nov 19, 13:48 2
        
        every thing i've seen and read he just seems embarrassed by it all. i actually think i'd like robert pattison. - Elf Andie Nov 19, 13:49 1
        
        I remember him complaining that he couldn't get a haircut without studio approval. -- nm - David Nov 19, 13:51
    - it doesn't have to have a huge number of guys when girls are going multiple times this weekend. -- nm - b. Nov 19, 13:34
    - More than Twillight? Yes. -- nm - Qale Nov 19, 13:33
    - There will be alot of guys seeing this film - probably a couple million. It just won't be high percentage compared to women. -- nm - Inigo Nov 19, 13:33
    - local tv news did a story on the one guy who was at the premier of Sex in the City - zeitgeist Nov 19, 13:33 1
      - heh, i went to the S&TC premiere party here, i don't actually recall one straight man (other than waiters.) -- nm - Elf Andie Nov 19, 13:34
    - [deleted] 5
      - Not with a top ten opening weekend of all time it didn't. -- nm - Max Nov 19, 13:34 4
        
        This is an argument of semantics anyway. The nature of the way a film accrues its box office has moved to the front of the release cycle. -- nm - David Nov 19, 13:47 1
        
        Take it to the Movies Board! -- nm - Spawn Nov 19, 13:48
        
        [deleted] 1
        
        I think the underestimation was the first movie, which probably nearly tapped out all the demo it was going to get. -- nm - Max Nov 19, 13:38
  - never underestimate the power of teen girls in the market place -- nm - zeitgeist Nov 19, 13:29
  - word - though I have no prediction of my own -- nm - Epiphany Nov 19, 13:29 28
    - Twillight sucks. But there are so many people saying that and yet saying this New Moon looks better. I think the boys are going too. -- nm - Qale Nov 19, 13:30 27
      - smart straight teenage boys should totally go to meet girls. i mean, seriously, it -- nm - Elf Andie Nov 19, 13:31 25
        
        as if they have any chance of breaking the gaze to the boys on screen. -- nm - Max Nov 19, 13:39 1
        
        oh, not DURING the movie, but in that crazy line beforehand? -- nm - Elf Andie Nov 19, 13:40
        
        The warewolves look better than Underworld 3. I'm just saying. -- nm - Qale Nov 19, 13:33 15
        
        Underworld: the only vampire franchise that annoys me more than Twilight. - TFox Nov 19, 13:35 10
        
        both are inferior to blade - Beryllium Nov 19, 13:39 8
        
        Blade might actually be my fave vampire flick. -- nm - Shaun Nov 19, 13:42
        
        Blade 3 has HHH -and- Parker Posey. We can enjoy it, but we can't call it legimitately good. -- nm - Qale Nov 19, 13:42 5
        
        It has *Hannibal King*. It wins by default. - Beryllium Nov 19, 13:43
        
        She gets out-acted by a wrestler. Every time she gets in a movie with a budget, she reminds us why she's an indie queen. -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 19, 13:43 2
        
        Josie! -- nm - Qale Nov 19, 13:48
        
        you make it sound like WWE has nothing to do with acting ....... ;-) -- nm - Beryllium Nov 19, 13:45
        
        Biel and Reynolds as well. -- nm - Shaun Nov 19, 13:42
        
        Easily. -- nm - Spawn Nov 19, 13:41
        
        Nudity saved it. - Spawn Nov 19, 13:38
        
        Uh, no. - Spawn Nov 19, 13:34 3
        
        I think the budget on Underworld 3 was seventy-six cents and a piece of pocket lint. -- nm - Qale Nov 19, 13:36 2
        
        And it still looked better than this tripe. -- nm - Spawn Nov 19, 13:37
        
        That's a quarter more than Wolverine! -- nm - Shaun Nov 19, 13:36
        
        if teenage boys were savvy enough to think of stuff like this, they'd get laid way more than they do. -- nm - TFox Nov 19, 13:32 1
        
        I'm sure enough teenage boys will be dragged along to theatres - Roger More Nov 19, 13:34
        
        .. it's a smorgasboard of turned on, swoony, girls. -- nm - Elf Andie Nov 19, 13:31 4
        
        who are afraid of sex... -- nm - David Nov 19, 13:44
        
        who you know make poor decisions. -- nm - Reagen Nov 19, 13:34 2
        
        heh, all they have to do is wear something somewhat goth, good shoes, messy hair and look troubled. - Elf Andie Nov 19, 13:39 1
        
        in the eric idle heyday, there would have been a film about a loony mental patient escaping and finding himself in line at this showing -- nm - Beryllium Nov 19, 13:40
      - this would floor me, it really would. -- nm - TFox Nov 19, 13:30
Yup, with about a $60 million Friday. -- nm - Inigo Nov 19, 13:27
That's about what I think, too. -- nm - Callisto Nov 19, 13:25 1
- I want it at least over Star Wars 3. (the Take that Lucas nt.) -- nm - Qale Nov 19, 13:27

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