ST Alpha - "strategy on the field might reflect the true probability, but wouldn't the betting odds change? -- nm" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "Your mistake is in taking the probablility of coming back from 3TD in the 4th quarter as a whole." by Reagen

strategy on the field might reflect the true probability, but wouldn't the betting odds change? -- nm

Posted by Max Nov 20 '09, 10:13

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can you explain that a little better? i'm not sure i follow. -- nm - TFox Nov 20, 10:14 1
- If a 10 touchdown game is more rare historically than a 9 TD game, at the 9th TD, aren't I going to bet against the game seeing a 10th in the game? -- nm - Max Nov 20, 10:21

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