ST Alpha - "Max, there'd definitely be wiggle room on the odds based on the teams, the exact situation and the "momentum" of the game, but it wouldn't be more " (Reading a Post)

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Max, there'd definitely be wiggle room on the odds based on the teams, the exact situation and the "momentum" of the game, but it wouldn't be more

Posted by Reagen (aka Reagen) Nov 20 '09, 10:20

than a couple of percent, and that's highly subjective.

Responses:

unrelated question since I don't follow sports too much: is it generally agreed that fatigue affects offense or defense more than the other? - Max Nov 20, 10:27 8
- I think it varies. Fatigue favours the offense in football, but the defense in hockey. -- nm - Reagen Nov 20, 10:28
- In the NFL, it makes it easier to score, imo. -- nm - Inigo Nov 20, 10:28 6
  - plus, the offense can dictate tempo. the defense can't -- nm - prayformojo Nov 20, 10:31 5
    - Really, the offense only needs the QB at his best. The rest can be winded. If the defense has even one guy that can't keep up, they'll get scored on. -- nm - Inigo Nov 20, 10:33 4
      - How about in baseball? Assume you can't put in a reliever. -- nm - Max Nov 20, 10:35 3
        
        If a pitcher has to run a lot in a game. It can really affect the way he throws. - Inigo Nov 20, 10:40 2
        
        Tell me about it. -- nm - Chien-Ming Wang Nov 20, 10:48
        
        Daniel Cabrera had a strategy to prevent such things. - the wrong element, bad guy Nov 20, 10:43
and reading your example, it kind of depends - that's just another version of the gambler's fallacy. - Reagen Nov 20, 10:24 1
- but...but...that's why I'm betting against New Moon! -- nm - Max Nov 20, 10:27

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