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In response to "Max, there'd definitely be wiggle room on the odds based on the teams, the exact situation and the "momentum" of the game, but it wouldn't be more " by Reagen

and reading your example, it kind of depends - that's just another version of the gambler's fallacy.

if there's time enough for another TD (and it's not a blowout so the leading team isn't just running down the clock), there's no reason to think an 11th is improbable just because it would be a record.

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