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JP Morgan predicts the Fed will cut its short term rate to zero by early 2009

Liquidity trap, here we come!

Fed to Cut Rates to Zero on Deflation Risk, JPMorgan Predicts

By Jason Clenfield
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Nov. 20 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Federal Reserve will probably cut interest rates to zero percent over the next two months to staunch deflation, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.

The Fed will lower borrowing costs by 50 basis points at each of the next two policy meetings on Dec. 16 and Jan. 28, JPMorgan economist Michael Feroli wrote in a note to investors yesterday. The central bank will hold rates at zero for the rest of 2009 to prevent prices from spiraling down as companies cut jobs and banks reduce lending, stifling spending, Feroli said.


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