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Another one that's tricky is Best Picture: Avatar, or The Hurt Locker?

Posted by Facto (aka FactoFail) Feb 8 '10, 10:58

The argument for Avatar is 1) to please the general audience, 2) it was quite universally praised by established film critics (also long before the public backlash from haters) 3) it sweeped the Golden Globes and 4) can't give 'em all to Bigelow, how wouldn't that hurt Cameron's reputedly massive ego

Hurt Locker on the other hand is universally acclaimed, but is about Iraq/US occupation and that's always tricky. And besides, Bigelow is a shoe-in for Best Director, or isn't she?

So I thought it was a given that Avatar wins BP and Bigelow wins BD. But then I received the following in my inbox just now, from Tom O'Neil on Facebook:

Most experts think The Hurt Locker will win Best Picture, apparently (goldderby.latimes.com)

Responses:

Avatar, clean sweep. -- nm - Loyola Feb 8, 11:09 5
- Other than the 6 big awards it's not nominated in. -- nm - Will Hunting Feb 8, 11:13 4
  - Clean sweep of best pic and director. -- nm - Loyola Feb 8, 11:19 2
    - Bigelow will win Director. it's a tossup whether they'll go Hurt Locker for Pic also -- nm - mr. reliable Feb 8, 11:20 1
      - I don't think it's a slam dunk for Bigelow, but I do think she's the favorite. -- nm - David Feb 8, 11:29
  - [deleted]
The only way Avatar loses is if there is significant Cameron backlash. -- nm - David Feb 8, 11:05 7
- But doesn't the Tom O'Neil-article itself make for a push towards The Hurt Locker among undecideds.. ? -- nm - Facto Feb 8, 11:30 3
  - No, it just lists some people who talk movies for a living who think The Hurt Locker will win. -- nm - David Feb 8, 11:32 2
    - A worthless read, then -- nm - Facto Feb 8, 11:33 1
      - It's totally enjoyable if you just want to see the opinions of others. I happen to think 5 out of 6 of them are off-base on BP. -- nm - David Feb 8, 11:36
- Avatar took so long to come to theaters because Cameron was waiting for the "I'm the king of the world!" backlash to blow over. -- nm - Mop (228 lbs) Feb 8, 11:06 2
  - yep, it wasn't waiting for the 3D technology to develop. it was this. -- nm - TFox Feb 8, 11:09
  - [deleted]
UP FTW!!! (seriously though, THL deserves the win if we're comparing it to Avatar) -- nm - Buzz Feb 8, 11:05
I saw The Hurt Locker friday and was disappointed. It's my least favorite amongst the 8 best picture nominees I've seen -- nm - Guigue Feb 8, 11:02
I think the only aspect that really harms Hurt Locker is it's tiny box office. - Will Hunting Feb 8, 11:00 1
- I'd take the field at those odds. -- nm - znufrii Feb 8, 11:16
The Blind Side in a shocking upset. (nm) - musubi Feb 8, 11:00 4
- If it wins BP the new system is already broken... - Mel Profit Feb 8, 11:30
- with the preferential voting system, a split between Avatar and Hurt Locker could let a surprise slip in there - mr. reliable Feb 8, 11:04 2
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[deleted] 2
- And so it was at the Golden Globes this year, in favour of Cameron. I see your point, but isn't Cameron in a special position? Aren't people a little - Facto Feb 8, 11:06 1
  - You're assuming Hollywood isn't full of phonies :) -- nm - Roger More Feb 8, 11:09
It's naive to think that only 2 out of 10 nominees have a shot. - Beryllium Feb 8, 11:00 1
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Oops... What did I just do -- nm - Facto Feb 8, 11:00 1
- board breaker! -- nm - TFox Feb 8, 11:01

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Another one that's tricky is Best Picture: Avatar, or The Hurt Locker?

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