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In response to "but why is it more unlikely than if the force was at third or home? -- nm" by prayformojo

say you have a runner on first, less than two outs

pop fly, runner on first holds tight to the bag. Fielder drops it, throws to second. Unless the batter is Deion Sanders, he's run out the fly and is already there.

If there's a runner on first and second, you can easily get the ball to third then second before they can move.


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