ST Alpha - "FWIW, I'm only thinking about $128 million. " (Reading a Post)

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In response to "Working on something now, but I've come up with $142.2." by Tim

FWIW, I'm only thinking about $128 million.

Posted by David (aka David) May 8 '10, 09:24

When we remove the $7.5 million in sneaks, it's $44.9 million on Friday. I would expect a two-day total of $87 million or so (plus the $7.5 million) and another $33 million or so on Sunday.

Kim's calcs are 44.9 + 46 + 33+ 7.5 and that still only takes us to $131.4 million even with an assumption of Saturday increase.

Even if we gave it The Dark Knight's $90 million Saturday/Sunday, a hugely unlikely scenario, we'd barely reach the number you're discussion ($90 + $52.4 = $142.4). So, I see that as too optimistic.

Responses:

Alrighty, that was the initial number I came up with but I'll keep crunching. -- nm - Tim May 8, 09:27 6
- I know I don't have to tell you but doing the individual days instead of a general multiplier is key here. - David May 8, 09:37 5
  - (Spidey 3 did $90 million Sat/Sun!) -- nm - Tim May 8, 09:58 1
    - I forgot to carry the 1. I'm so embarrassed. -- nm - David May 8, 09:59
  - Does Mother's Day help or hurt a movie like this? -- nm - Redmond of Persia May 8, 09:47 1
    - I think it's a push. -- nm - David May 8, 09:53
  - I found a math error in my calcs so I'm much closer to what you've come up with. -- nm - Tim May 8, 09:42

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FWIW, I'm only thinking about $128 million.

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