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Posts: 153
In response to
"
Simple math tells me he probably earned about 75 hits more in Japan than his career #'s dictate from MLB.
"
by
Will Hunting
What exactly is your argument, that Ichiro is a better hitter then Rose, or that he should have the hit record?
Posted by
musubi
Jun 5 '10, 08:52
Because the former is likely, the latter is just silly.
Responses:
Actually, I should probably say: better "player" than Rose, rather than better "hitter".
-
musubi
Jun 5, 08:55
4
As a hitter, I don't think it's close; Rose might be a better player, but he got the hits record by hanging around for 25 years
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 08:57
3
Rose was almost assuredly not the better player, but as a hitter, he was likely Ichiro's equal, if not better.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:04
2
Rose's BA is .303 career. His OPS was .785. Ichiro's BA is .333 and his OPS is .820 or so.
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 09:08
1
In a totally different hitting environment. Look at their peaks, relative to their leagues, and you'll clearly see that Rose was Ichiro's equal
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:10
I would say that he'd be a legitimate professional record holder at 4257. -- nm
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 08:54
54
Just as much as Saduharo Oh is the record holder of professional home runs.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 08:57
53
Sure I can discount Oh...Japanese fields are smaller, much smaller.
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 08:59
52
plus, there's this bullshit:
-
TFox
Jun 5, 09:07
1
Those are the single season HR record. Totally different animal from the career record.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:08
I know you discounted it early, but there is no logical consistancy. Oh's home runs (like Ichiro's hits) were earned fairly on the field of play.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:01
49
They're different factors. One is the field of play; the other is in a not comparable field of play
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 09:05
no, it's recognizing that different circumstances change the implication of those numbers.
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:04
47
That's my point. We don't discount Ruth's home runs, why then would you discount Oh's?
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:07
25
because the advantage those fields granted Oh did not grant the same advantage to Ichiro. -- nm
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:08
24
That's a false assertion. Look at the record books, balls weren't flying out of those stadiums. Oh did what others couldn't. Just like Ruth.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:12
23
so the park size *doesn't* matter to Ichiro's numbers?
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:15
22
Everything matters. That's why ignoring one set of number and not the other, just cause you want Ichiro to have a record, but not Oh
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:17
21
to repeat myself, it's recognizing that different set of circumstances rule different numbers.
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:20
12
I'm fine with that. Will is recognizing *some* differences, but not others, just cause he wants Ichiro to have a record, but not Oh.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:31
11
It's all about legitimacy. I don't consider Oh's to be as weighty/comparable to Aaron/Bonds for the reasons discussed.
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 09:33
What he is saying, I believe, is that not all those records would carry equal legitimacy. -- nm
-
TFox
Jun 5, 09:32
9
If that's what he's saying, great. But he specifically discounted Oh's professional record. (nm)
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:33
2
And now he's repeated that point 3 times, so I'm fairly sure that he doens't consider them all legit. (nm)
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:34
1
right, but that doesn't mean he doesn't have the record. he does. it's on wikipedia. i can look it up and see that.
-
TFox
Jun 5, 09:36
Right. Zero people have suggested giving him the MLB record. -- nm
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:33
5
No Will thinks that there is a "professional hits" record that Ichiro should own. But Oh can't be the "professional" HR record holder.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:36
4
He can be the pro HR leader, I can think that's a less meaningful record.
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 09:38
no, he *is* the record holder. but the record is less meaningful than the other record. -- nm
-
TFox
Jun 5, 09:37
2
That's nonsense. Either it's a legit record or it's not.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:39
1
Barry Bonds as MLB HR leader is exactly as legit as Hank Aaron was. yes or no?
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:41
isn't this the lifeblood of sabermetrics? ignoring numbers that don't mean much, and paying attention to other numbers that do? -- nm
-
TFox
Jun 5, 09:18
7
It's rigourous examination of all numbers and determining which mean the most. Not just saying, small parks, so those homers don't count. (nm)
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:26
2
Sure, but if we can't use obvious facts because we don't have a more inscrutable and abstract fact to support it is... something.
-
TFox
Jun 5, 09:28
1
Inscrutable abstract facts? Whatever dude.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:41
This is what gets me. The ink that gets spilled over proving what people might have done, and this is the bridge too far? -- nm
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:21
3
Where is the ink spilled proving what people might have done?
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:26
1
no one's done the work on Oh's # (that I'm aware of). It could be done. The work on Ichiro's #s is simpler. -- nm
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:29
we can retroactively figure a league-independant VORP for this guy, but can't say "home runs that wouldn't reach the wall in America are iffy". -- nm
-
TFox
Jun 5, 09:22
But people do argue that his mean less because they were only against white players.
-
Krusty
Jun 5, 09:07
20
I showed you it's 75 hits over his Japanese career based on #'s.
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 09:09
17
Ichiro is one of the greatest hitters ever to play baseball, why would you try an make such a hollow arguement just to get him record?
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:15
2
Because baseball's a numbers game and 4257 professional hits would be more than anyone else ever.
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 09:16
1
I've already said they're the most professional hits ever. But they're also different.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:29
He got 1,200+ hits in Japan. I can't count those hits towards the record. -- nm
-
Krusty
Jun 5, 09:13
But we can't *know* Will! Spare me your numerical alchemy! -- nm
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:11
12
We know he got those hits. Those hits are as real and as valid as any other. But they're not MLB hits. If you count those, you count Oh's HRs too.
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:16
11
Yup. -- nm
-
Krusty
Jun 5, 09:21
"it's that simple." What we're saying is, maybe it's not. -- nm
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:18
9
How is it not that simple? Would a goal scored in Eastern Europe count to the NHL scoring record?
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:32
8
the stats could eventually be compared (with a lot more work than baseball)
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:34
7
So your answer then is no, right? (nm)
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:36
6
This is apples and oranges where the hits discussion is Red Delicious vs Fuji. -- nm
-
Reagen
Jun 5, 09:39
5
Will's solution is counting all the Red Delicious and the Fuji's together. (nm)
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:43
4
Actually, I've done enough rough calcs to show you why his #'s should vary within reason.
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 09:46
(because they are apples.) -- nm
-
TFox
Jun 5, 09:43
2
But not Gala and Granny Smiths!
-
musubi
Jun 5, 09:45
1
Or ripened vs any apple.
-
Will Hunting
Jun 5, 09:47
but not to the point that they discount Babe Ruth. They toss out that qualification and then summarily ignore it. -- nm
-
TFox
Jun 5, 09:08
1
Fair enough. -- nm
-
Krusty
Jun 5, 09:09
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