In response to
"Huh? You've been missreading yet again. I never said anything about Demand. That's all you."
by
the liioulu with lots less
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*sigh* OK. Econ 101.
Posted by
Reagen
Mar 17 '11, 18:21
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Price is affected by supply and demand. Supply goes up, price goes down. Demand goes up, price goes up. Gaddafi can either sell or not.
If he sells to anyone, it doesn't change the price, because oil is fungible (all the same). He can't hurt Italy or France or whoever by embargoing them, as long as he sells.
Currently, no oil is getting out of Libya. So, the situation we're currently in is the same as if Gaddafi didn't sell any oil. Which isn't ideal but is barely hurting anyone, and couldn't be a rationale for not acting against him. It doesn't make sense to worry about him turning off the taps, since they already are off.
The question then becomes, will Gaddafi keep them off if he wins? He's crazy, but he's not stupid. He'll need money. Lots and lots of it, so he'll have to sell. Maybe not to the West, but it won't matter.
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